Paul The Octopus Spain Prediction Doesn’t Sway Gamblers

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

Written by :

Dan Shapiro

Published on :

Paul the Octopus may be perfect with his predictions for this year's World Cup, but the sports bettors in general are not buying the sea soothsayer's selection when it comes to Spain winning the 2010 FIFA World Cup final on Sunday.

"Spain is getting just 58 percent of the betting action in this one," points out Carrie Stroup, Senior Reporter for the Gambling911.com website.  "We have seen favorites getting in the range of 80 to 95 percent of the betting action in some World Cup games leading up to this point."

Sportsbook.com had Spain around even odds (-111 to be precise) while the Netherlands would pay out US$27 for every US$10 bet.

Until now, Paul has only selected games that featured Germany.  He correctly predicted Germany's losses to both Serbia and Spain during this year's World Cup.

"I think it was that Serbia pick that made folks around the globe start to take notice of Paul the Octopus," says Stroup.  "Nobody saw that one coming and more than 90 percent of the bets were coming in on Germany."

During a divination, the octopus is presented with two boxes. Each contains food, and is marked with the flag of a national football team in an upcoming match, among which he is said to choose his predicted winner. The octopus is reported to have chosen the box with the flag of the winning team in several of Germany's six Euro 2008 matches, and in each of their first six matches in the 2010 FIFA World Cup. On July 9, when presented with a box with a Spanish flag attached to it and another with the Netherlands flag, he ate the mussel in the box with the Spanish flag. That act was interpreted as a prediction that Spain will win the World Cup final on July 11.

Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com 

Related Content

Chengdu Rongcheng v Beijing Guoan Betting Odds, Goalscorer Odds: Felipe, Wei Shihao

Chengdu Rongcheng v Beijing Guoan Betting Odds, Goalscorer Odds: Felipe, Wei Shihao

Chengdu Rongcheng (-180) vs. Beijing Guoan (pays out $240 on a $100 bet) play an upcoming Chinese Super League regular season match on July 26, 2026, at 7:35 PM local time at the Wuliangye Sports Center Stadium.
Chengdu Rongcheng v Beijing Guoan

成都蓉城 vs 北京国安 赔率与进球球员投注:费利佩、韦世豪、法比奥·阿布雷乌

成都蓉城(前身为成都钱宝)将于2026年7月26日(星期日)在凤凰山体育公园专业足球场迎战北京国安,展开一场中超联赛焦点战。
Tigres v Atletico San Luis - Cuotas de Apuestas y Apuestas de Goleadores: Juan Brunetta, Ozziel Herrera, Marcelo Flores

Tigres v Atletico San Luis - Cuotas de Apuestas y Apuestas de Goleadores: Juan Brunetta, Ozziel Herrera, Marcelo Flores

Tigres es amplio favorito con una cuota aproximada de -260, mientras que Atlético San Luis paga US$ 650 por cada US$ 100 apostados en caso de victoria. El empate paga US$ 360 por cada US$ 100 apostados.
Club Athletico Paranaense vs Internacional Apostas em Artilheiros: Kevin Viveros, Jorge Rivaldo, Renan Peixoto

Club Athletico Paranaense vs Internacional Apostas em Artilheiros: Kevin Viveros, Jorge Rivaldo, Renan Peixoto

A Arena da Baixada receberá a partida do Campeonato Brasileiro Série A entre Athletico Paranaense e Internacional em 25 de julho de 2026. O Athletico Paranaense é favorito com cotação próxima do equilíbrio, enquanto o Internacional paga cerca de US$ 300 para cada US$ 100 apostados.