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The Iowa vs. Michigan spread has hung around Hawkeyes -3 and -3 ½ depending on the sportsbook. 85 percent of the betting action was on Iowa in this game. Iowa was the 3rd most bet on team in College Football during Week 7.
Iowa (4-1, 1-0 Big Ten) and its stingy defense -- a nation's best 10.2 points allowed per game -- will face its toughest test yet when they visit denard Robinson and Michigan (5-1, 1-1) on Saturday, ESPN.com warns. Robinson is averaging 165 yards per game and has scored nine times. The Hawkeyes have yet to allow a rushing TD.
ESPN’s Scouts Edge gives this one to Iowa by 5 points.
Iowa's advantage in the running game should lead to a convincing road win. Denard Robinson and his running backs will face one of the top overall defenses in the nation, and the Hawkeyes' ability to control the line of scrimmage will force Denard Robinson to make plays though the air. On the other side, Adam Robinson faces a Michigan run defense that was exposed by Michigan State and doesn't match up well with the Hawkeyes' downhill ground game. If the Wolverines load up against the run, their corners will have a difficult time holding up on the outside, and Stanzi will find the open man.
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Let’s review some crucial betting trends in the Iowa vs. Michigan matchup.
Michigan has won three of the last four in this series, though Iowa won the last game by 2 points (failing to cover the current spread).
The Hawkeyes are 4-0 Against The Spread in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Iowa is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The Hawkeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Iowa is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
The Hawkeyes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
The Wolverines are 3-8 Against The Spread in their last 11 games overall.
They are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 conference games.
The Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Michigan is 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Michigan is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. – Dan Shapiro reporting.
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