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The New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread opened at Saints -4 as the away favorite. While the line has moved a half point up at a handful of online sportsbooks and several of the Las Vegas books, the spread has remained relatively stable. 90 percent of the backing on the spread was going towards the Saints in this game. The money line pays around $18 for every $10 bet should Tampa Bay win outright and nearly 75 percent of those betting the money line were backing the Bucs.
Coming into the season, this looked like an easy win for New Orleans, but the Saints have not looked like last year’s Super Bowl winning bunch.
Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hardly looked like the lowly crew of last season. In fact, they come into this game 3-1. And here’s a note to all those Gambling911.com value hunters out there: The Buccaneers are listed with +1800 odds of winning the NFC South for a payout potential of $1800 on every $100 bet.
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Last week, New Orleans lost on the road in Arizona and it was their second loss in three weeks. For a team that started last season 13-0, a 3-2 record coming into Week 6 is hardly reason to be optimistic.
"There's an expectation level that we get accustomed to when we perform at a high level," Saints coach Sean Payton said. "When you don't meet those expectations, certainly there's disappointment."
The Bucs last week won from behind on the road in Cincinnati.
"Our goal remains the same -- we're trying to get to 10 wins and solidify a playoff spot," Quarterback Josh Freeman said. "Our main goal right now is to continue to find ways to win. It's a matter of who can go out and execute the best and be a winner at the end."
Tampa Bay has already matched its total wins from last season.
The Saints hopes of winning this game may hinge on taking advantage of Tampa’s NFC South last place defense, allowing 143.2 yards per game. That same defense, however, has forced 12 turnovers, of which 9 were interceptions.
Tampa Bay is 6-4 in this series.
A few interesting trends to consider before betting on this game:
The Saints are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss but are just 2-7 Against The Spread in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
They are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.
The Saints are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
They are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Buccaneers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
They are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games. - Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com Reporting
