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Carrie Stroup here with some 2010 Week 12 NFL predictions.
Last week, we were way off and that was a reflection on how well the betting public performed against the books. This is not a normal trend.
For example, the two big public favorites managed to win for the sports bettors.
This week’s big public favorites are the Philadelphia Eagles and Pittsburgh Steelers. With Pittsburgh getting nearly 95 percent of the betting action on the spread, I’m gonna have to somewhat reluctantly go with Buffalo covering at +7.
Likewise, I’m a little more comfortable choosing the Chicago Bears to cover at +3.5 against Philadelphia. The Eagles were getting 85 percent of the spread action.
Typically, I would anticipate one of these two picks based on going against public action to come through.
Let’s take a look at some hot trends below:
Minnesota is 2-8 ATS in all games this season and 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season. I’m not expecting much of a change this week. Washington at +1 looks enticing.
Carolina is playing poorly on grass. They are 1-7 ATS in games played on a grass field this season. It’s tough to bet the Browns at -10 however, even if they are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City is 16-6 ATS against NFC West division opponents since 1992. The Chiefs at -2.5 looks enticing here if not for the fact that they are also 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and Seattle is 5-1 ATS following a Straight Up loss.
Denver is 1-9 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. Gotta love St. Louis here at +3.5.
San Diego is 17-3 ATS against AFC South division opponents since 1992. I like the Chargers at +3 vs. Indianapolis.
- Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter
