Army vs. Navy Line December 10, 2011: Free Pick

Navy was the favorite here at -7.

Neither team has an especially impressive record coming into this game with Army at 3-8 and Navy at 4-7.

“The Army Black Knights and the Navy Midshipmen won’t play in a bowl game this season, but that unfortunate fact only makes their 2011 meeting that much more important,” notes Tony Bryant of BetOnline.com.  You can claim up to $900 in cash at BetOnline depending on your initial deposit.  Learn More Here

Bryant adds:  When you do your homework and assess your on this game, you have to realize that while Navy is much weaker than it’s been in the past, Army has endured a noticeable decline as well in 2011. Army went 7-6 last year but is now sitting at 3-8, mired in gridiron misery. It’s true that the Black Knights will be fired up for this game, and it’s also true that in a typical Army-Navy game (at least over the past two years), Army stays in the fight for at least two quarters, usually two and a half. However, the Black Knights – last in the nation in passing yards – just don’t have the big-play capability to threaten Navy’s defense. Army also commits just enough mistakes – usually a key turnover at the wrong time – to give the Midshipmen they breathing room they need. Navy is a mediocre team, but Army is worse. The burden of proof is definitely resting on the shoulders of the Black Knights in this contest.

“It’s hard to pick a team that hasn’t won college football’s most traditional and time-honored rivalry since 2001. Until proven otherwise, Navy should beat Army again,” Bryant predicts. 

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A few more important stats to consider coming into this game:

The Black Knights are 2-9 Against The Spread in their last 11 conference games.

The Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Army is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

The Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

The Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

Navy is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games.

Gambling911.com has to go with Navy here as well.  They have not only won the last 10 games in this series, they have covered the current spread all 10 times.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com