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Heisman front-runner Cam Newton leads the undefeated Auburn Tigers into Ole Miss for a Saturday night SEC showdown. Sportsbook.com currently has the 8-0 The Tigers with odds that make them the 7-point favorites.
Auburn is currently the No. 1 team in the BCS polls and are continuing to find ways to win close games. After beating LSU last week 45-17, Auburn now has five victories this season by one score or less winning 3, 3, 8, 3 and 7 points. Ole Miss is riding a two-game road losing skid to Alabama an Arkansas, but coming home isn’t necessarily a good thing considering the Rebels have already lost home games to Jacksonville State and Vanderbilt this season.
Newton has been amazing this year, ranking third in the nation in passing efficiency (172.08), sixth in rushing (135 YPG) and ninth in total offense (305 YPG). Checking the Heisman Trophy betting odds at Sportsbook.com, it isn’t surprising that he is the -200 favorite to win college football’s most prestigious individual award.
The Tigers defense has not always been great, especially against the pass, where they have allowed 249 YPG this year (ranked 101st in nation).
The Ole Miss pass defense has been nearly as bad as Auburn’s, surrendering 246 passing YPG (99th in nation). The Rebels have given up 32.0 PPG which ranks 101st in the nation. Ole Miss does have a shot to win this game because of its potent rushing attack. Brandon Bolden (80 rush YPG) and QB Jeremiah Masoli (57 rush YPG) are the two biggest reasons the Rebels are a top-20 rushing team this season (211 rush YPG). Masoli has also thrown the ball better in his past four games with nine touchdowns and just two interceptions.
For those planning on placing a wager on the Auburn vs. Ole Miss point spread, be aware that the home team is 4-1 (SU and ATS) in the past five meetings between these schools.
Additionally, these two football betting trends found at Sportsbook.com supports betting the home dog in this spot.
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLE MISS) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. (84-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.6%, +45.5 units. Rating = 3*).
Play Against - Road favorites (AUBURN) - excellent rushing team - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games. (67-30 since 1992.) (69.1%, +34 units. Rating = 3*).
Despite these pro Ole Miss betting trends, 85 percent of the early cash is on Auburn.
The over-under is currently a hefty 61 points with 89 percent of Sportsbook.com college football betting population pounding the ‘over’. The following trend might help to explain the one-sided wagering.
Play Over - Any team against the total (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. (40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*).
For more of this weekend’s college football betting odds, head over to Sportsbook.com now.
