Dak Prescott and the Rookie Super Bowl Curse: Cowboys 9-2 Odds of Winning
The Dallas Cowboys red hot rookie quarterback Dak Prescott is hoping to break a long standing Super Bowl curse. No rookie quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl in 50 years.
Bill Barnwell of ESPN notes that there simply haven’t been a whole lot of rookies or even quarterbacks with just two seasons under their belt that have started in a Super Bowl.
From ESPN.com:
For every year of players with a given level of experience, I figured out how many quarterback seasons it took to typically get a passer to the Super Bowl. There have been 152 qualifying second-year seasons since 1970 -- that would be someone like Mariota this season -- and six of those guys have made it to the Super Bowl, most recently Russell Wilson in 2013. That's a rate of just under 4 percent, or one Super Bowl appearance for every 25.3 seasons.
Barnwell adds that the quarterbacks who are playing in their mid-to-late 30s are generally extremely good and more likely to make a Super Bowl than a typical rookie.
Barnwell provided an example involving former Dolphins quarterback Don Marino:
Dan Marino (1983 Dolphins, 123 AY/A+) took over the starting job for good in Week 5 and threw 20 touchdowns against six picks during a standout rookie campaign. He was then in line for a rosy playoff matchup against the Seahawks and their lousy pass defense, but he struggled. Marino threw in two picks, and the Dolphins blew a 20-17 fourth-quarter lead to lose. Marino didn't blow the lead; after the Seahawks kicked a field goal to tie the game, Miami fumbled the ensuing kickoff to give the ball back to Seattle for the game-winning touchdown.
Barnwell points out that Dak Prescott is unlike any other rookie starting quarterback so this indeed could be the year of the rookie.
ODDS TO WIN 2016-17 SUPER BOWL LI (2/5/17)
Team |
Odds |
|
New England Patriots |
8/5 |
|
Dallas Cowboys |
9/2 |
|
Atlanta Falcons |
15/2 |
|
Green Bay Packers |
8/1 |
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
8/1 |
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
17/2 |
|
Seattle Seahawks |
13/1 |
|
Houston Texans |
80/1 |
|
|