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We here at Gambling911.com don’t know if we need a statistical model telling us that France will win the Euro 2016 outright. Oddsmakers have them as the 3-1 co-favorite along with Germany.
France, after all, will have the home field advantage. They have won two previous Euro 2016 titles at home.
They have also been drawn with Albania, Romania and Switzerland, which should make things easy to kick off the Euro 2016.
The team of statisticians were previously correct in picking the 2008 winner. They also correctly picked the winner of the 2010 World Cup and 2012 Euro Championship.
The winning probability for France was coming in at just over 21 percent.
The defending European Champion Spain follows with 13.7 per cent, while England and Belgium are the "best of the rest" with lower winning chances of 9.2 and 7.7 per cent respectively.
"In all models, France and Germany are determined the clear winners within their group. Therefore, it is much more likely that these two teams will meet in the semifinal rather than in the final — the winner of the semifinal will most likely play against Spain," explained Achim Zeileis, one of the researchers from University of Innsbruck in Austria, in a statement.
Both teams are predicted to win against Spain.
- Alistair Prescott, Gambling911.com
