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Our friends at Pregame.com had a number of free college football picks for September 3, 2011. The season is finally here and it is time to start winning.
Plenty of games coming our way Thursday and Friday but today we hone in on two Saturday games.
Joe Gavazzi of Pregame.com had Northwestern as his pick with a line of -3 vs. Boston College found at BetDSI.com.
Analysis: This line has been impacted by the linemakers anticipation of the notable improvement by the Wildcats on the basis of their experience. In fact, this is my #2 most experienced team in the nation. With 16 RS and 9 on the offensive side of the ball, this includes QB Persa operating behind one of the most veteran OLs in the nation. You recall that Persa was completing 73.5 of his passes before he was shelved by a late season Achilles injury. This offense will be far superior to that of BC who also has 9 RS. But the Eagles figure to be doing it with inexperienced QB Rettig, and without best RB Harris (knee). Thus, if BC is to succeed in this game they will need to rely on a defense, which is the specialty of third year HC Spaziani. This is an Eagle team who has a winning record each of the last 4 seasons with a defense that has allowed 20 or less points every year. Inverted home-road dichotomy also favors the Wild Cats who are 7-2 ATS RD vs. and Eagle team who is 1-6 ATS home LY. O
Gavazzi was also all over Southern Mississippi as the -12.5 favorite against Louisiana Tech.
Analysis: A virgin QB in Hattiesburg is not the way LA Tech would prefer to open their season. When second year HC Dykes installed his Air Raid offense last year it resulted in a -15 net turnovers and a 5-7 SU ATS season. That may not improve tonight at this site with new QB Cameron. At first glance 7 RS on defense may appear a positive, but this is a Bull Dog stop unit that allowed 31 points and 462 yards last season. Expect S. Miss OB Davis and a solid wide receiver unit to take advantage on a field where they averaged 43 PPG LY. Fourth year HC Fedora has arguably his best team this season with an offensive attack that will average his trademark 200 yards both rushing and passing. Teams who gained 200 yards both running and passing against an opponent last year were 129-35 ATS 79%. Their unique new 4-2-5 defense will certainly cause trouble for a virgin QB. Please note LA Tech has a poor history in this role of 9-28 ATS RD including 0-6 ATS away in NC games.
- Gambling911.com Staff
