Michigan State vs. Michigan Free Pick

This Michigan State vs. Michigan free pick is courtesy of Pregame.com. 

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The Michigan Wolverines welcome the Michigan St. Spartans for one of the most anticipated games of the week. Both teams are undefeated, and both teams are nationally ranked. The winner of this game takes a huge step up in the race for the Big Ten conference championship. The Wolverines are 4.5 home favorites, with a total of 64.5 points expected. ABC will televise this game starting at 3:30 EDT.

Michigan has been one of the biggest stories of this college football season, as they have surprised many with their play. As a result of their 5-0 SU record, the Wolverines are ranked 18th in the nation coming into today. Michigan is led by their offense, which is being directed by all world duel threat QB Denard Robinson. Robinson has literally come out of nowhere to be the leading candidate to win the Heisman Trophy this year. Robinson leads the nation in rushing at 181 rushing YPG, and is 2nd in total offense at 382.6 YPG. With Robinson leading the way, the Wolverines are 2nd in the nation in total offense at 565 YPG. Michigan is also scoring 41.4 PPG, 9th best in the nation. Michigan has revenge on their minds, as they've lost the past few meetings against their state rival. The Wolverines still need to shore up their defense a bit, as they've allowed their past 4 opponents to score at least 21 PTS. Today marks the 4th consecutive game that the Wolverines will be playing in front of their home fans. The Wolverines are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Michigan is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Wolverines are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

The Wolverines are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

Michigan St. is coming off their best performance of the season, a 34-24 SU victory over Wisconsin. The Spartans were the listed underdog in that game, just like they will be today. Michigan St. has been very consistent on offense this year, scoring at least 30 PTS in each game this season. The Spartans have no real weakness, as they rank in the top 40 in nearly every statistical category as a team. Credit Coach Dantonio for the Spartans overall balance this year. Michigan St. is averaging 240.4 passing YPG and 220 rushing YPG this season, both top 40 offensive marks. QB Kirk Cousins is doing a masterful job managing this offense, as they are 24th in the nation in scoring offense at 36.2 PPG. The Spartans defense has to step up again today against an explosive offense, no small feat after dealing with the physical Wisconsin offense last week. Michigan St. is allowing an average of 18.6 PPG this season. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Michigan St. is 1-5 ATS against a team with a winning record.

The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Over is 26-9-1 in their last 36 road games against a team with a winning home record.

Pregame.com’s free pick on Michigan State vs. Michigan: The final score to be 41-34 in favor of the Michigan Wolverines. The Over 64.5 is the Total of the Day! – Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com.