3rd Down Conversion Betting Prop Super Bowl 57

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Feb/03/2023

The 3rd down conversion betting prop for Super Bowl 57 had the total set at Over 11½ Conversions -145 and the Under at -115.

Kansas City had the best third down conversion percentages, just below the Bills, at 48.86%.  The Eagles had the 4th best at 46.61%.

It's interesting to know that NFL teams overall have a 38.9% chance of converting an average third down.

Football Perspective offered an interesting observation on what successful 3rd down conversions mean for the outcome of a game.

Teams that were favored by 1 to 5.5 points won 58.7% of their games.

Teams that were favored by 6 to 8 points won 73.6% of their games.

Teams that were favored by more than 8 points won 83.4% of their games.

But let’s say you know that the favorite would lose the third down battle. How does that change things?

Teams that were favored by 1 to 5.5 points but were worse on third downs won only 43.4% of their games.

Teams that were favored by 6 to 8 points but were worse on third downs won only 54.2% of their games.

Teams that were favored by more than 8 points but were worse on third downs won 68.2% of their games.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Football News News

Auburn vs. Kentucky Betting Preview - March 1

Auburn opened as a -4.5 road favorite versus Kentucky with that number moving to -5.  The line briefly moved to -5.5.  70% to 80% of those betting the spread were backing the Tigers early on.

2025 College Wins Totals Odds

The transfer portal isn’t fully complete yet but that hasn’t stopped the oddsmakers at BetOnline.ag from opening college football win totals for the Power Four Conference teams and Notre Dame.

Syndicate