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Without a doubt the single most bet on game of the week and New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints odds had New Orleans as a very stable -3 favorite. There has not been any line movement since the number debuted early in the week. Around 85 percent of the spread action was going New York's way in this game and the Giants money line was getting slammed. The money line pays out $15.50 for every $10 bet if the Giants win outright.
Giants quarterback Eli Manning played well against Oakland despite his painful foot injury, but he played for less than a half. He will likely need to play the entire game -- and play well -- for the Giants to keep up with an explosive Saints offense.
The Giants have the second-ranked defense in the league and have the talent to slow down Drew Brees' downfield passing and Pierre Thomas' between-the-tackles rushing. The x-factor could be Reggie Bush. The closest player to Bush that New York has faced this year is Dallas' Felix Jones, who rushed for 96 yards and a TD on seven carries against the Giants in Week 2. Bush could have a similar impact if he gets loose.
The Saints success has a lot to do with their surprisingly stout defense that is allowing just 3.7 yards per carry and just 212 passing yards per game, ESPN.com points out.
After showing some versatility in Week 3 with some 3-4 defensive looks, the Saints went back to their traditional 4-3 in Week 4. The Giants have been surprisingly explosive on offense, so look for New Orleans to potentially mix some 3-4 looks into their defensive packages early in the game to keep the Giants' offense off balance.
Eli Manning is expected to be playing at less than 100 percent in this game and this could prove to be a problem for New York. In last week's blowout against the Oakland Raiders, Manning rested the second half.
One problem that exists is that the Saints are likely to run blitz on early downs and this could give the Giants fits, especially with Manning's injury since the Saints will blitz pressure from the back end and go up the middle in order to push Manning out of the pocket. New York will need some quick hitting plays to red hot receiver Steve Smith due to the intensified blitz pressure anticipated.
These two teams played one another a total of four times over the last 10 years and split the series. The home team has won 5 of the last 6 but head-to-head history really is not a major factor that can be considered here.
Some important New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints odds trends to consider before betting on this game:
The Giants are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Giants are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games following a S.U. win.
The Giants are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog
The Giants are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games following a ATS win.
The Giants are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
The Saints are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
The Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
The Saints are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite.
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Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
