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With the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. LSU Tigers the most bet on game of the weekend, with lopsided action all going the way of LSU, Gambling911.com gives its readers the Betting Edge.
The line opened with North Carolina as a +1 road favorite, remarkably, and now the odds on this game have North Carolina at +10 at betED.com. Talk about the sportsbooks trying to get action desperately on the Tar Heels! This is perhaps the biggest line move we have ever seen at Gambling911.com.
The reason for this drastic move: Most of North Carolina’s key players will be out of Saturday’s game due to ongoing NCAA violations.
While the bookies will do whatever they can to shade this line, their reaction suggests some pretty serious fear that this one can turn into a blowout.
The line move has been gradual since September 1 (Wednesday) at betED.com and based on the amount of lopsided action coming in on LSU:
09/01/10 1:40:11 PM
3.5/-110
42 -110
09/01/10 2:10:12 PM
4.5/-110
42 -110
09/01/10 2:40:13 PM
4.5/-110
42.5 -110
09/01/10 5:30:13 PM
5/-110
42.5 -110
09/02/10 9:50:11 AM
6/-110
42.5 -110
09/02/10 11:20:12 AM
6.5/-110
42.5 -110
09/02/10 12:40:13 PM
6.5/-110
42 -110
09/03/10 9:40:14 AM
6.5/-105
42.5 -110
09/03/10 10:10:12 AM
7/-110
42.5 -110
09/03/10 12:00:12 PM
7.5/-105
44 -110
09/03/10 6:40:11 PM
8/-105
44 -110
09/03/10 7:30:11 PM
8.5/-105
43.5 -110
09/03/10 9:00:11 PM
9.5/-105
43.5 -110
09/03/10 9:10:11 PM
10/-105
43.5 -110
09/04/10 10:10:12 AM
10/-110
44 -110
Gambling911.com suggests a line above -10 for LSU by game time 8 pm EST Saturday night. That’s because 90 percent of the action was still coming in on the Tigers even at that number.
Even without the suspensions, there might be a betting edge for the Tigers, albeit slight.
LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. ACC.
Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
