Patriots Jets Line Week 10 has New England Rare Underdog
With the Patriots Jets line at -1.5 in favor of New York, this makes New England a rare underdog. In recent times, New England is 3-0-1 Against The Spread in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bet this game at Sportsbook.com here.
Sportsbook.com Line & Total: NYJ -1.5 & 47.5
Opening Line & Total: Jets -1 & 48.5
The slumping Patriots look to end a rare losing streak when they travel to New Jersey on Sunday night to face the rival Jets who are starting to peak for the second half of the season.
New England has dropped two straight games, while New York is a perfect 3-0 (SU and ATS) since losing 30-21 in New England on Oct. 9. Despite the Patriots’ struggles to contain opposing passing games, the Jets threw just 26 times in that Week 5 loss in Foxboro. They were also unable to contain Tom Brady, who threw for 321 yards and the Jets secondary, outside of Darrelle Revis, struggled all game. Brady is 14-5 all-time (74%) against the Jets in the regular season. New York has turned to the running game heavily of late, as Mark Sanchez has averaged just 177.8 passing YPG since the start of October. But if Brady is on his game, and stakes the Pats to an early lead, the Jets could have trouble catching up.
Brady’s regular-season numbers against New York are pretty impressive: 19 G, 224 passing YPG, 23 TD, 10 INT. He is having another excellent year with 338 passing YPG, 20 TD and 10 INT. WR Wes Welker continues to lead the NFL in both catches (66) and receiving yards (960), and in his past four regular-season meetings with the Jets, he has caught 33 passes for 434 yards and two touchdowns. Despite the gaudy passing numbers, New England’s best player in the Week 5 win over New York was RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, who rushed for 136 yards and 2 TD. He’s been bothered by a toe injury since that matchup, only carrying the ball 31 times for 119 yards in three games since facing the Jets.
New England is still ranked last in the NFL in passing defense, surrendering 314 YPG. It has been much more proficient in stopping the run, ranking ninth in the league with 102 YPG. The team cut ties with Albert Haynesworth earlier this week, as the high-priced DT had only three tackles and zero sacks in his half-year tenure in Foxboro. The Patriots have had their fair share of injuries, and they could be missing LB Brandon Spikes (knee), DE Shaun Ellis (ribs) and S Josh Barrett (hamstring) who are all questionable to play on Sunday night.
Jets QB Mark Sanchez hasn’t always been at the top of his game against New England, but he has 5 TD and 0 INT in the past two meetings, which includes three touchdown passes during last year’s 28-21 playoff upset in Foxboro. For the season, Sanchez has completed 57.5% of his passes for 1,775 yards (210 YPG), 13 TD and 7 INT. He has also been sacked 17 times. Sanchez has distributed the targets pretty evenly among his top three receivers, as TE Dustin Keller (53 targets), WR Plaxico Burress (51 targets) and WR Santonio Holmes (48 targets) are all within five targets of each other. After a slow start to the season, RB Shonn Greene is starting to find his groove with 345 rushing yards (4.3 YPC) in the past four weeks.
Like New England, the Jets are also dealing with a bunch of injuries on defense, especially on the D-Line where Kenrick Ellis (ankle), Mike DeVito (knee) and Marcus Dixon (leg) could all miss Sunday night’s clash. This defense has really stepped up since allowing 446 yards to New England, surrendering just 288 total YPG in the past three games. For the season, the Jets rank seventh in the NFL in passing defense (196 YPG) and 22nd in rushing defense (123 YPG). They are tied for third in the league with 13 interceptions, including four by Revis and three from CB Antonio Cromartie.
