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The Penn State vs. Iowa spread opened at Iowa -7 at Bookmaker.com and has remained there much of the week. That was the current line as of Friday night. Nearly 90 percent of the betting action in this game was going towards Iowa, Gambling911.com has observed.
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The ESPN.com Scout’s Edge has the Hawkeyes winning by 11 points in this game, which is more than the current 7 point spread:
Penn State doesn't have the maulers up front to handle a tough, deep and versatile Hawkeyes defensive line. An inability to create seams for Royster will force Bolden to shoulder more of the offensive load, and that's a lot to ask from a true freshman in a hostile environment. The Nittany Lions' pressure packages will give the Hawkeyes' offensive line problems, too, and we expect a relatively low-scoring game. The difference will be the ability of Iowa's offensive line to match up physically with Penn State's front four and open up creases in the running game. Iowa has the experience at quarterback, weapons in the passing game and power at running back to overcome mistakes up front.
Iowa has won 7 of the last 8 in this series including the last 2 games. Here is the caveat: They only covered the current spread once in the last 2 games and twice in the last 7.
The Nittany Lions are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Hawkeyes are 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Hawkeyes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
