Written by :
Published on :
The Saints-Falcons Monday Night Football line was coming in anywhere from Atlanta -1 to -3 with the “wise guy” books leaning towards the -1 and the recreational shops flirting with the -3. Just over 65 percent of the spread betting action was on Atlanta coming into this game. 70 percent of those betting the money line were on New Orleans with a potential payout of $11.50 for every $10 bet. More than 90 percent of those betting the total were on the OVER 49.
Sports bettors were made aware of significant trends favoring Atlanta coming into this game by Gambling911.com’s own Carrie Stroup.
“They are 4-1 against the spread versus New Orleans over the last 3 seasons, 15-5 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and 21-9 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons,” Ms. Stroup points out (more trends can be found below).
This is a significant game for both teams. A win for the Falcons would mean they won’t have to go on the road until the Super Bowl (assuming they make it that far). They can also win the NFC South by beating lowly Carolina at home next week.
The Saints odds of winning the division are not very good. They will need to win this game, beat a solid Bucs team in their regular-season finale and hope the Panthers can somehow upset Atlanta. The best route to the Playoffs for New Orleans will be via a wild-card berth. That requires the Saints to win one of their last two games or have Tampa lose once. At press time, Tampa Bay was set to host Seattle at home later Sunday afternoon.
New Orleans will be seeking revenge after suffering a loss against Atlanta earlier in the season. The Saints have won 7 of their previous 8 games in this series.
Some more trends that go against New Orleans in this game included the following:
The Saints are 0-6-1 Against The Spread in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Saints are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
New Orleans is3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC South.
We should note that New Orleans has played well after a Straight Up loss. They are 16-5 ATS.
If you are looking for a stat that goes against Atlanta, the Falcons are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. They are, however, 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record overall.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
