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Pregame.comhas your TCU vs. SMU football free pick.
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The SMU Mustangs tackle nationally ranked TCU tonight on ESPN at 8:00 EDT. TCU is looking to keep pace with the few teams ranked ahead of them in the polls, while SMU is looking for a program defining win. The Iron Skillet is at stake tonight, so both teams will be excited to start this game. TCU is a 17.5 road favorite tonight, with a total of 55.5 points expected.
The Iron Skillet will be on display tonight, as SMU looks to make a program defining statement in beat the 4th ranked team in the nation. SMU is a program on the rise, as this team has been making strides under Coach June Jones the past few seasons. The last time SMU beat a ranked opponent was 2005, when they beat a ranked TCU team. Prior to that, you have to go back to 1996 to see a Mustangs win over a ranked opponent. SMU is 2-1 both SU and ATS this season, with their lone loss coming against Texas Tech. QB Kyle Padron has the chance to be special under Coach Jones, and he's off to a fast start this year. Padron has throw for 8 TD's this year, against only 3 INT's. For SMU to take the next step with their program, the defense needs to continue to improve rapidly. The Mustangs have allowed TCU to average 43.5 PPG over their previous 2 meetings. SMU isn't used to having "big" games played in their stadium, so one could expect a true home field advantage tonight with the Iron Skillet ultimately at stake.
The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Over is 17-5 in their last 22 games following a SU win.
TCU is quite easily one of the best teams in all of college football. More importantly, this team has been on that elite level for longer than most people realize. Defense rules the day for this team, and this year is no exception. The Horned Frogs are only allowing 12.7 PPG, the 9th best in all of FBS. This stat is even more impressive when you consider this TCU team has played Baylor and Oregon St, 2 formidable teams. Tonight marks the first road game of the season for the Horned Frogs. QB Andy Dalton leads a very underrated offense that doesn't get nearly the publicity that the defense gets. All the Horned Frogs offense has done this year is average 45.7 PPG, the 6th most in the country. Dalton has 32 career victories to his credit, the most of any QB in FBS play. TCU has won the past 3 meetings SU with SMU, yet have only gone 1-2 ATS in those specific contests. TCU has the rare opportunity of playing in a standalone game in front of a national audience, so one would expected the Horned Frogs best effort tonight.
The Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. The Under is 7-2 in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 41-24 in favor of the TCU Horned Frogs. The Over 55.5 points is the Total of the Day!
