Free MLB Picks - June 14, 2023

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Jul/14/2023

Mets slated starter Justin Verlander (3-4, 3.60 ERA) was charged with three runs (two earned) over six innings on Friday in a no-decision against the Padres prior to the All Star Break.  He won his previous start but did not have a victory in the six games before this one.

sporthub300.gif

The Mets come into Friday's game as a +105 dog hosting the Dodgers.  Note: This game is marked as potentially being impacted by weather.

The total on this game is 8.5 with four of the last five Verlander has started staying UNDER this number.  Seven of the last ten games in this series have stayed UNDER 8.5 as well.

Verlander has allowed just 12 hits in 66 at bats (.182) versus the current Dodgers lineup. 

Julio Urías (6-5, 4.76 ERA) yielded two runs over six innings on Thursday in a win over the Pirates.  Urias lost in his two previous starts, though these were spread far apart. Against the Royals, he up five runs on six hits in his three innings of work.  This was coming off an injury however.

Urías has been sensational against the Mets, allowing just 10 hits off of 52 at bats (.192). 

Both these starters are capable of going deep. 

But in the end, 8 of the Dodgers last ten games have seen them score 5 or more runs.  This will keep us from backing the Under.

Brewers @ Reds

The total on this game has been set to 10 as the total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games and 11 of Cincinnati's last 16 games.  Interestingly, the total has only gone OVER 10 in three of the last ten games of this series.

Milwaukee has won ten of the last thirteen games of this series and nine of eleven playing on the road against Cincinnati.

Milwaukee will start Corbin Burnes (7-5, 3.94 ERA).  He's won his last two games, including against these same Reds his last start.  That game ended up hitting the current number of 10 runs when all was said and done.

Burnes is sick versus this Reds lineup.  He's allowed just 13 hits on 98 at bats against them, including two home runs.

Graham Ashcraft starts for Cincinnati.  He is 4-6 with a 6.28 ERA.   Ashcraft won his last start versus the Nationals where he limited them to just one run over six innings.   Before that he surrendered just one run in 6 2/3 innings and struck out seven against the Padres but was tagged for six runs in four innings by the Braves in his prior start.

Ashcraft has permitted 11 hits off of 35 at bats versus the current Brewers roster.  They've also homered off of him in four of those at bats.

Really do like the Brewers in this one, especially at -112.

Gambling911 Upcoming Hot Plays/Results

Sunday July 9 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - Pick Blue Jays -130 W

Saturday July 8 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 9.5 W

Saturday July 8 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -180 W

Friday July 7 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins - Pick Phillies -134 W

Friday July 7 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -175 W

Friday July 7 - Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -145 L

Thursday July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins L

Wednesday July 5 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Tuesday July 4 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Blue Jays -120 W

Monday July 3 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 9 L

Sunday July 2 - Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick Twins L

Friday June 30 - Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -169 L

Thursday June 29 - LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies - Pick UNDER 12 L

Wednesday June 28 - Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals - Pick Guardians W

Thursday June 22 - Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins W

Tuesday June 20 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Monday June 19 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Rangers -128 W

Sunday June 18 - Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -150 W

Saturday June 17 - Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals - Pick Marlins -170 W

Thursday June 15 - Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Wednesday June 14 - New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Pick UNDER 7 P

Tuesday June 13 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Pick Orioles +105 W

Monday June 12 - Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -130 W

Sunday June 11 - Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total 8 - Pick UNDER 8 L

Friday June 9 - Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Under 8.5 W

Wednesday June 7 - Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres - Pick Mariners +100 L

Tuesday June 6 - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Pick Red Sox -106 W

Monday June 5 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick Rays -140 W

Monday June 5 - Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins -155 W

Sunday June 4 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9 W

Sunday June 4 - Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Pick White Sox -167 W

Saturday June 3 - Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -143 W

Saturday June 3 - Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 W

Wednesday May 31 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants UNDER 8 L

Wednesday May 31 - Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros UNDER 8 L

Tuesday May 23 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Cleveland Guardians (Logan Allen) - Pick - Under 8.5 W

Wednesday May 24 - San Francisco Giants (Anthony DeSclafani) vs. Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan) - Under 7.5 L (8 runs scored)

Thursday May 25 Gambling911.com Play - Toronto Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin) - Pick Tampa Bay Rays -170 W

Friday May 26 - Texas Rangers (Jon Gray) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez) - Pick - Orioles -125 L

Saturday May 27 - San Diego Padres (Michael Wacha) vs. New York Yankees (Luis Severino) - Pick Yankees -155 W

Saturday May 27 - Texas Rangers (Andrew Heaney) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Dean Kremer) - Pick - Orioles L

Sunday May 28 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Detroit Tigers (Eduardo Rodriguez) - Under 8/8.5 L

Sunday May 28 - Texas Rangers (Dane Dunning) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Kyle Bradish) - Pick - Orioles W

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Baseball News

Chris Paddack Player Prop Bets

Paddack recorded 10 strikeouts over seven shutout innings on Monday in a win over the White Sox. Prior to that start, Paddack was obliterated by the Orioles, allowing nine runs on 12 hits in 5 1/3 innings.

Zach Eflin Player Prop Bets

Zach Eflin has great value in fantasy leagues for the April 26 game against the lowly Chicago White Sox.  Betting on Eflin and the Tampa Bay Rays might make sense if not for the -210 price tag.

Trevor Williams Player Prop Bets

The Nats Trevor Williams held the Astros to one run with four strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision on Saturday.  And the betting public was eating him up at a near 80% clip. 

Syndicate