Free MLB Picks - September 17, 2023
There is no cookie coating this: Yesterday was a complete disaster. We were on the Rays-Orioles UNDER Oddly enough, the runs were scored early and the OVER came in by a half at 8. Check out all the top handicappers picks at the G911 Sports Hub here.
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
A lot of books haven't moved the total off the 8 to 8.5 (some have) even with more lopsided action on the OVER.
We worry about an UNDER here being that Blue Jays career statistics vs. Nick Pivetta are 54 for 179 with 10 homers.
In 59 appearances against the current Red Sox batters, Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed 19 hits and 4 home runs (.322).
Astros @ Royals
DraftKings opened this one at 10. A small number of books opened at 9. Pretty much everyone was holding at 9.5 as of Sunday morning with greater than 75% of the action on the OVER.
Seven of the last ten in this series have indeed gone OVER the current number of 9.5.
Framber Valdez surrendered three runs across seven innings in a loss to the Athletics on Monday and is likely to rebound here.
Jordan Lyles surrendered seven runs in five-plus innings Tuesday in a no-decision against the White Sox. He allowed three runs his previous start.
Reds @ Mets
José Quintana pitched five innings and allowed two runs Monday against the Diamondbacks. The Reds are a below-average offense facing southpaw pitching, and they incur a big park downgrade on Sunday.
The veteran lefty has yielded more than three runs in a start just once, and that was versus the Braves.
Brandon Williamson of the Reds will face a Mets team that is below-average offense with a righty on the hill, with a strikeout rate that's increased over the second half.
He's posted a solid second half with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP with an occasional hiccup, including allowing five runs across four innings but didn’t factor into the decision Tuesday against the Tigers. He doesn't have a win in his last five starts.
83% or more of the action is on the OVER 9 and the books aren't doing much to encourage action on the UNDER here other than a few moving up off the 8.5.
7 of the last 10 in this series have stayed UNDER the current total.
The Reds have scored four or fewer runs in six of their last ten games overall while allowing four or fewer in five of their last seven. New York has scored three or fewer in six of their last ten. They have allowed 4 or fewer in seven of their last ten.
Gambling911 Upcoming Hot Plays/Results
Sunday September 17 - Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets - Pick UNDER 9.5
Saturday September 16 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick UNDER 7.5 L
Friday September 15 - San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies - Pick UNDER 10.5 W
Thursday September 14 - No Plays
Wednesday September 13 - Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies - Pick UNDER 9 W
Wednesday September 13 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins - Pick UNDER 8.5 L
Tuesday September 12 - Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies - Pick OVER 8.5 W
Monday September 11 - Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies - Pick Braves -160 W
Sunday September 10 - Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays - Pick UNDER 8 L
Saturday September 9 - Cleveland Guardians @ LA Angels - Pick Guardians -130 L
Friday September 8 - Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Clubs - PIck UNDER 7 W
Thursday September 7 - No Plays
Wednesday September 6 - Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick UNDER 8 W
Tuesday September 5 - No Plays
Monday September 4 - Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - Pick OVER 10 W
Sunday September 3 - Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals - Pick Marlins -160 W
Saturday September 2 - No Plays
Friday September 1 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 L L
Thursday August 31 - No Plays
Wednesday August 30 - LA Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies - UNDER 7.5 L
Tuesday August 29 - Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs - Pick UNDER 6.5 W
Tuesday August 29 - Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins - Pick UNDER 7.5 W
Tuesday August 29 - Texas Rangers @ New York Mets - Pick Rangers -140 W
Monday August 28 - New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers - Pick UNDER 8.5 W
Monday August 28 - Washington Nationals @ Toronto Blue Jays - Pick UNDER 8 L
Sunday August 27 - No Plays
Saturday August 26 - Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers - Pick Astros -130 W
Saturday August 26 - New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Pick Rays -180 W
Saturday August 26 - New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Pick UNDER 7 W
Saturday August 26 - LA Dodgers @ Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9.5 L
Friday August 25 - San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 8 L
Friday August 25 - Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins - Pick UNDER 8.5 L
Thursday August 24 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick UNDER 8.5 W
Wednesday August 23 - Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 8 L
Tuesday August 22 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick UNDER 8.5 L
Monday August 21 - No Plays
Sunday August 20 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals - Pick OVER 8.5 L
Saturday August 19 - Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros - Pick Houston Astros -150 L
Friday August 18 - Miami Marlins @ LA Dodgers OVER 8.5 W
Thursday August 17 - Milwaukee Brewers @ LA Dodgers UNDER 8.5 W
Wednesday August 16 - No Plays
Tuesday August 15 - Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs - Pick Cubs -175 L
Monday August 14 - Baltimore Orioles @ San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 W
Monday August 14 - Houston Astros @ Miami Marlins - Pick Astros -135 L
Sunday August 13 - Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -130 W
Sunday August 13 - LA Angels @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -130 L
Saturday August 12 - Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Blue Jays -110 L
Friday August 11 - San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick UNDER 9 L
Thursday August 10 - No Plays
Wednesday August 9 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -134 W
Tuesday August 8 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -152 W
Monday August 7 - No Plays
Sunday August 6 - Miami Marlins @ Texas Rangers - Pick OVER 8.5 L
Saturday August 5 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L
Friday August 4 - No Plays
Thursday August 3 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L
Wednesday August 2 - No Plays
Tuesday August 1 - Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants - Pick UNDER 7.5 W
Monday July 31 - No Plays
Sunday July 30 - Seattle Mariners @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Seattle -104 W
Saturday July 29 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -132 W
Friday July 28 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates - Pick Phillies -158 W
Thursday July 27 - No Plays
Wednesday July 26 - No Plays
Tuesday July 25 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick Brewers -150 L
Monday July 24 - Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -115 W
Sunday July 23 - No Plays
Saturday July 22 - New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -110 W
Friday July 21 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Blue Jays +110 L
Wednesday July 19 - Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners - Pick UNDER 7.5 L
Tuesday July 18 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -130 W
Monday July 17 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick UNDER 8.5 W
Sunday July 16 - Houston Astros @ LA Angels W
Saturday July 15 - Boston Red Sox @ Chicago Cubs -105 L
Friday July 14 - Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds - Pick Brewers -112 W
Sunday July 9 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - Pick Blue Jays -130 W
Saturday July 8 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 9.5 W
Saturday July 8 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -180 W
Friday July 7 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins - Pick Phillies -134 W
Friday July 7 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -175 W
Friday July 7 - Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -145 L
Thursday July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins L
Wednesday July 5 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 8.5 L
Tuesday July 4 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Blue Jays -120 W
Monday July 3 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 9 L
Sunday July 2 - Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick Twins L
Friday June 30 - Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -169 L
Thursday June 29 - LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies - Pick UNDER 12 L
Wednesday June 28 - Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals - Pick Guardians W
Thursday June 22 - Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins W
Tuesday June 20 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick UNDER 8.5 L
Monday June 19 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Rangers -128 W
Sunday June 18 - Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -150 W
Saturday June 17 - Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals - Pick Marlins -170 W
Thursday June 15 - Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 L
Wednesday June 14 - New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Pick UNDER 7 P
Tuesday June 13 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Pick Orioles +105 W
Monday June 12 - Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -130 W
Sunday June 11 - Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total 8 - Pick UNDER 8 L
Friday June 9 - Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Under 8.5 W
Wednesday June 7 - Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres - Pick Mariners +100 L
Tuesday June 6 - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Pick Red Sox -106 W
Monday June 5 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick Rays -140 W
Monday June 5 - Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins -155 W
Sunday June 4 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9 W
Sunday June 4 - Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Pick White Sox -167 W
Saturday June 3 - Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -143 W
Saturday June 3 - Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 W
Wednesday May 31 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants UNDER 8 L
Wednesday May 31 - Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros UNDER 8 L
Wednesday May 24 - San Francisco Giants (Anthony DeSclafani) vs. Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan) - Under 7.5 L (8 runs scored)
Thursday May 25 Gambling911.com Play - Toronto Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin) - Pick Tampa Bay Rays -170 W
Friday May 26 - Texas Rangers (Jon Gray) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez) - Pick - Orioles -125 L
Sunday May 28 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Detroit Tigers (Eduardo Rodriguez) - Under 8/8.5 L
Sunday May 28 - Texas Rangers (Dane Dunning) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Kyle Bradish) - Pick - Orioles W
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
