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Hot Betting Notes for NFL Week 11 2022

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Nov/18/2022

Before you bet the NFL this weekend, these are some hot trends you should be aware of below.  All betting is courtesy of our friends at BetOnline here.

NFL

 

  1. The Chargers are 5-0 against the spread on the road this season.
  2. The Jets and Vikings are both 9-0 against the spread in the fourth quarter this year.
  3. The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 11 lines:
    1. Philadelphia/Indianapolis went from Philly -9.5 to -6.5, a three-point swing.
    2. LAR/NO went from NO -2 to -3.5, a 1.5-point swing.
    3. KC/LAC went from KC -6.5 to -5, a 1.5-point swing.
  4. The biggest total movements thus far since opening the Week 11 totals:
    1. Carolina/Baltimore went from 44 to 41, a three-point swing.
    2. Cincinnati/Pittsburgh went from 42.5 to 40, a 2.5-point swing.
    3. Chicago/Atlanta went from 47 to 49, a two-point swing.
  5. The three most wagered favorites are:
    1. Washington (-3) at Houston                    67% are on Washington
    2. NYJ at NE (-3):                                       66% are on New England
    3. Philadelphia (-6.5) at Indy:                      63% are on Philadelphia

                                                               i.      Note: The line opened on Sunday at -9, but quickly moved to -6.5 after the Eagles loss. Since then, mostly Eagles action.

  1. The three most wagered underdogs are:
    1. Chicago (+3) at Atlanta:                          77% are on Chicago
    2. Carolina (+13) at Baltimore:                    69% are on Carolina
    3. Dallas at Minnesota (+1):                       60% are on Minnesota
  2. The two most wagered overs are:
    1. Dallas at Minnesota:                                71% are on over 48.5 points
    2. Philadelphia at Indianapolis:                    66% are on over 45.5 points
  3. The two most wagered unders are:
    1. LV at Denver:                                         89% are on under 41 points
    2. LAR at NO:                                             81% are on under 39 points

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College Football

 

  1. The line movements in college football are much more volatile than the NFL.
  2. TCU is a college football best 8-1-1 against the spread this year.
  3. The over is 9-1 in Houston games this year.
  4. While the under is 9-1 in Kentucky games this year.
  5. The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 12 lines:
    1. Utah/Oregon went from Oregon -3 to +2, a five-point swing and a new favorite.
    2. San Jose State/Utah State went from SJSU -2.5 to +1.5, a four-point swing and a new favorite.
    3. Indiana/Michigan State went from MSU -13.5 to -10, a 3.5-point swing.
    4. Wisconsin/Nebraska went from Wisconsin -13 to -10, a three-point swing.
    5. Western Kentucky/Auburn went from Auburn -7.5 to -4.5, a three-point swing.
  6. The three most wagered favorites are:
    1. Tennessee (-22.5) at South Carolina:     76% are on Tennessee
    2. TCU (-2.5) at Baylor:                              73% are on TCU
    3. Georgia (-22.5) at Kentucky:                   68% are on Georgia
  7. The three most wagered underdogs are:
    1. Oklahoma State (+7.5) at Oklahoma:      82% are on Oklahoma State
    2. UConn (+10.5) at Army:                          75% are on Connecticut
    3. Texas at Kansas (+9):                            72% are on Kansas
  8. The two most wagered overs are:
    1. Iowa at Minnesota:                                 76% are on over 32.5 points

                                                               i.      Note: this is the second lowest total in over twenty years

  1. USC at UCLA:                                        66% are on over 77.5 points
  2. The two most wagered unders are:
    1. Akron at Buffalo:                                      84% are on under 43.5 points
    2. Stanford at California:                             78% are on under 46.5 points

 

 

 

Canada's version of the Super Bowl goes down this Sunday as the Toronto Argonauts take on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the 109th edition of the Grey Cup.

 

Winnipeg looks to become the first back-to-back-to-back champions since the Edmonton Eskimos in the early '80s. The Bombers are 5.5-point favorites with an over/under of 48 points.

 

We’ve also rolled out two dozen prop bets for the game, making it feel very Super Bowl-esque.

 

MVP, gatorade color, first touchdown scorer, coin toss and more can be wagered on for the Grey Cup.

 

Odds can be seen in real-time on this page: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/cfl-grey-cup-props

  

Grey Cup MVP             

Zach Collaros                +150

Brady Oliveira               +300

Dalton Schoen              +300

M. Bethel-Thompson    +350

Andrew Harris               +800

Davaris Daniels             +1000

Kurleigh Gittens Jr.        +1000

Nic Demski                   +1000

AJ Ouellete                   +1600

Johnny Augustine          +2000

Markeith Ambles          +2000

Brandon Banks              +2500

Greg Ellingson               +3300

Rasheed Bailey              +3300

                       

Who will be first player to score a TD?             

Dalton Schoen              +450

Any Other Player           +500

Nic Demski                   +600

Brady Oliveira               +800

Kurleigh Gittens Jr         +900

Andrew Harris               +1000

Greg Ellingson               +1000

Brandon Banks              +1200

Davaris Daniels             +1200

Drew Wolitarsky           +1200

Rasheed Bailey              +1200

Janarion Grant              +1400

Markeith Ambles          +1600

AJ Ouellette                  +1800

Cam Phillips                  +2000

Johnny Augustine          +2000

Dejon Brissett               +2500

Juwan Brescacin            +2500

B. O'Leary-Orange         +2800

M. Bethel-Thompson    +3300

No TD in the Game        +3300

Zach Collaros                +3300

                       

Which player will score a TD at any time?                    

Dalton Schoen              -180

Nic Demski                   -160

Brady Oliveira               +110

Greg Ellingson               +120

Kurleigh Gittens Jr.        +120

Andrew Harris               +130

Brandon Banks              +140

Davaris Daniels             +150

Drew Wolitarsky           +160

Rahseed Bailey              +160

Markeith Ambles          +180

AJ Ouellette                  +200

Cam Phillips                  +200

Johnny Augustine          +225

                       

What color liquid will be poured on coach?                  

Orange                         +260

Blue                             +275

Lime/Green/Yellow       +350

Clear/Water                  +500

Red                              +600

Purple                          +700

                       

Coin Toss                     

Heads               -105

Tails                 -105

                       

Which team will score first?                 

Winnipeg                      -150

Toronto                        +120

                       

What will be first score of the game?               

Touchdown                  +105

Field Goal                     +125

Any Other Score            +500

                       

Time of First Score                   

After 5:15 of 1st Quarter                      

On of before 5:15 of 1 Quarter             

                       

How many TDs will be scored?             

Over 4½ TDs                

Under 4½ TDs              

                       

How many TDs will Toronto score?                  

Over 2 TDs                   

Under 2 TDs                 

                       

How many TDs will Winnipeg score?                

Over 2½ TDs                

Under 2½ TDs              

                       

What will be distance of longest TD?               

Under 45½ Yards                      

Over 45½ Yards            

                       

What will be distance of shortest TD?              

Under 1½ Yards           

Over 1½ Yards              

                       

How many successful FGs will there be?                      

Over 4 Field Goals                    

Under 4 Field Goals                  

                       

How many FGs will Toronto successfully kick?              

Under 2 Field Goals                  

Over 2 Field Goals                    

                       

How many FGs will Winnipeg successfully kick?           

Under 2 Field Goals                  

Over 2 Field Goals                    

                       

What will be distance of longest FG?                

Over 46 Yards              

Under 46 Yards            

                       

What will be distance of shortest FG?              

Over 19 Yards              

Under 19 Yards            

                       

Will there be a safety?             

No                    -800

Yes                   +500

                       

Will there be a rogue?             

Yes                   -130

No                    +100

                       

Which team will commit first penalty?             

Toronto                        -115

Winnipeg                      -115

                       

How many sacks will there be?            

Over 3½ Sacks              

Under 3½ Sacks            

                       

Will there be a fumble recovery by opposing team?                 

No                    -130

Yes                   +100

                       

Which team will call a timeout first?                

Toronto                        -115

Winnipeg                      -115

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