How Do Key NFL Players' Absences Impact the Spread?
(Panama City) - As it does every year, the injury bug has taken its toll on NFL players this season, and those setbacks have produced a trickle-down effect on the odds.
It's interesting to see how the odds are impacted by certain players who are out for a game, or longer. We've seen it happen this year with guys like Lamar Jackson, Matthew Stafford, Tua Tagovailoa and now most recently, Kyler Murray.
Quarterbacks are generally the only players who can move a betting line, but these days there are a few skill players and defensive players who can make an impact as well.
Keep in mind, the values below are volatile because the players' complimentary teammates, team standing and the game matchup itself are all factored into the oddsmaking equation.
Values are courtesy of the oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag.
(The numbers below are what each player’s value is to the spread of a game if that player were to miss the game)
Current Top 20
Josh Allen 8 points
Patrick Mahomes 8 points
Joe Burrow 7.5 points
Lamar Jackson 7.5 points
Jalen Hurts 7 points
Tom Brady 7 points
Aaron Rodgers 6 points
Deshaun Watson 5.5 points
Justin Herbert 6 points
Matthew Stafford 6 points
Dak Prescott 5.5 points
Tua Tagovailoa 5 points
Derek Carr 4.5 points
Kyler Murray 4.5 points
Justin Fields 4 points
Kirk Cousins 4 points
Russell Wilson 3.5 points
Jared Goff 3 points
Ryan Tannehill 3 points
Daniel Jones 2.5 points
Trevor Lawrence 2.5 points
Players Whose Values Have Increased the Most Since Start of the Season
Jalen Hurts +3.5 points
Tua Tagovailoa +2.5 points
Jared Goff +2 points
Justin Fields +1.5 points
Lamar Jackson +1.5 points
Players Whose Values Have Decreased the Most Since Start of the Season
Carson Wentz -3.5 points
Matt Ryan -3 points
Russell Wilson -3 points
Zach Wilson -2.5 points
Jameis Winston -2 points
Top 5 Non-QBs on Offense
Cooper Kupp 2 points
Derrick Henry 2 points
Justin Jefferson 2 points
J’Marr Chase 2 points
Tyreek Hill 2 points
Top 5 Defensive Players
Micah Parson 2 points
Nick Bosa 2 points
TJ Watt 2 points
Myles Garrett 1 point
Aaron Donald 1 point