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- 2026 NFL Draft Top Liabilities for the Sportsbooks Revealed
- 57% Chance of Permanent Peach Agreement Between USA and Iran By End of June at Polymarket
- Despite Judge Ruling, Prediction Markets Give Virginia Redistricting Plan 85% Chance of Moving Forward
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Politics (Virginia)
Despite Judge Ruling, Prediction Markets Give Virginia Redistricting Plan 85% Chance of Moving Forward
Thursday April 23, 2026 (9:19 am EDT)
Democrats on Wednesday celebrated an election win in Virginia that could put them slightly ahead in the national redistricting competition that President Donald Trump triggered in an attempt to preserve his party’s House majority in this year’s midterms, but it will not be the final round.
Now that it’s been approved by voters, the new Virginia map will have to clear additional legal hurdles. On Wednesday, the state attorney general’s office said it would immediately appeal a ruling earlier in the day from a judge in rural southern Virginia who ordered that the results of Tuesday’s vote not be certified. Jack Hurley Jr.., a Tazewell County Circuit Court judge, entered the ruling.
Ultimately, the Virginia Supreme Court will decide whether Democratic lawmakers violated procedural rules when they referred a constitutional amendment to the ballot authorizing the new U.S. House districts that could help Democrats win as many as four additional seats in the state. If so, that could invalidate the map voters narrowly approved Tuesday.
While traders initially backed redistricting at close to 95% at prediction markets by the time results had finally rolled in, the chances only dropped to 85% following the judge's ruling.
Iran Conflict
Prediction Markets See Iran/USA Permanent Peace Deal By End of June
U.S. President Trump says he has ordered the US Navy “to shoot and kill” any vessels “putting mines in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz”.
Iran, meanwhile, has seized two ships in the Strait as tensions once again begin to escalate.
But traders at Polymarket give a lasting peace deal a 57% chance of being enacted by the end of June.
April 23, 2026 (9:10 am EDT)
NFL Draft
2026 NFL Draft Betting Action, Biggest Liabilities
April 23, 2026 (9:10 am EDT)
Gambling News (Pennsylvania)
Top 10 - Book's Biggest Liability
1. Jordyn Tyson to go 5th Overall
2. Caleb Downs to go 8th Overall
3. Arvell Reese to go 6th Overall
Team Position - Book's Biggest Liability
1. Vikings to Select WR w/First Pick
2. Bears to Select OL w/First Pick
3. Saints to Select DL w/First Pick
Top 10 - Book's Biggest Bets
1. Arvell Reese to go 2nd Overall
2. David Bailey to go 2nd Overall
3. David Bailey to go 3rd Overall
Misc. - Book's Biggest Bets
1. Under 1.5 QBs Selected in Round 1
2. Ty Simpson Draft Position Over 29.5
3. Caleb Downs Draft Position Over 9.5
4. Over 7.5 OLs Selected in Round 1
5. Carnell Tate First WR Selected
Prediction Markets / Politics
Congressional Candidates From Minnesota, Virginia and Texas Fined By Kalshi for Betting on Their Own Elections
Thursday April 23, 2026 (9:05 am EDT)
A Republican, a Democrat and an Independent have each been fined by Kalshi for allegedly betting on their own elections.
The company has lodged the accusations against Mark Moran, who is running as an independent in Virginia's U.S. Senate race; Ezekiel Enriquez, who ran in a Texas Republican primary for a U.S. House seat; and Matt Klein, a Democratic state senator running for a U.S. House seat in Minnesota.
While Moran admitted to placing the bets, he refused to reach an agreement with Kalshi and was fined the most at more than $6,200, while Klein and Enriquez did reach agreements and face penalties of over $530 and $780.
- Chris Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher
