Top Betting Market: Trump Pardoning of Ghislaine Maxwell Now 4-1 Odds

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Jul/28/2025

Once again Monday morning, US President Donald Trump would not rule out the pardoning of convicted sex trafficker Ghislaine Maxwell.

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Ghislaine Maxwell Pardon Betting Market

Trump reiterated Monday morning that he is “allowed” to pardon Jeffrey Epstein’s co-conspirator Ghislaine Maxwell but told reporters that no one has asked him to issue one to her.

The president added: “It's in the news about that, that aspect of it, but right now, it would be inappropriate to talk about it.”

20% of those at the prediction market Kalshi believed Trump would pardon Maxwell.  That's up 3 percent since Friday. 

Maxwell is a British-American former socialite who was convicted in December 2021 of sex trafficking of minors, including recruiting and grooming underage girls for financier Jeffrey Epstein.  She is currently serving a 20 year sentence. 

Maxwell finished 1 1/2 days of interviews Friday with U.S. Justice Department officials, answering questions “about 100 different people,” her attorney said.

Questions over President Donald Trump’s past ties with Epstein and secret files related to him have dogged administration officials, including some officials who once stoked conspiracy theories and now say there is nothing further to disclose.

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Epstein Files-Related Betting Markets

  • Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31? 12 percent chance (Polymarket)
  • Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case by July 31? 6 percent chance (Polymarket)
  • Trump Pardon of Ghislaine Maxwell - 6 percent (Polymarket)
  • Will Trump release any of the Epstein Files this Year? 34 percent chance with $4.5 million bet at Kalshi thus far.  
  • Trump Approval Rating 35 Percent or Lower By Year's End - 28 percent chance at Polymarket. 
  • Will a Special Counsel Be Brought in for Epstein Matter? (Betting Market Coming Soon)
  • Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?  19 percent chance with $19K bet at Polymarket.
  • Epstein Files Made Public in 2025? 13 percent chance with $288K bet at Polymarket thus far. 
  • Dan Bongino to Leave Trump Administration in 2025? 55 percent chance with $136K bet. 
  • Pam Bondi to Leave Trump Administration in 2025? 27 percent chance with $252,327 bet (most of any other cabinet member). 
  • Pam Bondi Out as Attorney General by End of July - 2 percent chance with $219K bet thus far. 
  • Evidence That Trump Visited Epstein Island - 8 percent chance at Polymarket with $6K bet thus far. 

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- Chris Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher 

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