Top Betting Markets: Gamblers Give Noem 51 Percent Chance of Being Out as DHS Secretary by July

Written by :

Gilbert Horowitz

Published on :

27 January, 2026

These are your current top betting markets as of January 27, 2026.

Kristi Noem Out as DHS Secretary By July 31

51 percent of those trading at Kalshi have the DHS Secretary Kristi Noem leaving per post by the end of July.

Most Democrats, and some Republicans, want Noem removed from her position in light of a second fatal shooting by ICE agents in Minneapolis over the weekend.

BetOnline.ag has been offering odds on whether or not some of President Trump's cabinet members will be out before 2027. In late December, Noem started with 4/1 that she'd be ousted, but they've completely flipped and now are nearly 1/3, which equates to around a 75% probability.

News broke late Monday that Gregory Bovino was being re-assigned. Bovino was the go-to architect for the large-scale immigration crackdowns ordered by Trump and the public face of his administration’s city-by-city sweeps. The Border Patrol chief led agents in Los Angeles, Chicago and New Orleans before he headed to Minnesota in December for what the Department of Homeland Security called its largest-ever immigration enforcement operation.

US President Donald Trump's next cabinet member to leave odds were gaining traction on Tuesday, with Noem leading the pack.

Trump did reiterate that Noem was doing "a very good" job when asked by reporters Tuesday afternoon.

Trump Cabinet: Next To Leave Post

Kristi Noem -165

Pam Bondi +225

Tulsi Gabbard 8/1

Pete Hegseth 16/1

John Ratcliffe 20/1

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 20/1

Scott Bessent 40/1

Marco Rubio 80/1

Linda McMahon 80/1

Lee Zeldin 80/1

Nebraska vs. Michigan College Basketball

The Nebraska vs. Michigan college basketball game Tuesday night was the most wagered on of the day and featured a line of Wolverines -10.5; with an over/under of 154.5. 66% of the spread bets were on Nebraska while greater than 75% of the money was pouring in on Michigan here.

No. 7 Nebraska plays No. 3 Michigan after Pryce Sandfort scored 22 points in Nebraska's 76-57 victory against the Minnesota Golden Gophers.

The Wolverines have gone 9-1 in home games. Michigan is 15-0 in games decided by 10 or more points.

The Cornhuskers are 9-0 in Big Ten play. Nebraska is 16-0 against opponents with a winning record.

Tremendous traffic was coming in for this game.

Government Shutdown By Saturday

78% of those trading at Kalshi believe a US government shutdown is inevitable come Saturday.

After the historic 43-day shutdown of the U.S. Government in the fall of 2025, the latest odds suggest we'll see another impasse between parties that will shut the government down again on January 30.

BetOnline.ag has shutdown probability numbers up since the January 1, and the odds have swung massively toward "YES" during the past 48 hours.

Here are the changes:

(ODDS ON SATURDAY MORNING)

Will there be a govt. shutdown before February 1?

Yes +350

No -600

(ODDS ON MONDAY MORNING)

Will there be a govt. shutdown before February 1?

Yes -800

No +425

Joe Brady Named Buffalo Bills New Head Coach

The Buffalo Bills have promoted offensive coordinator Joe Brady to head coach on a five-year deal, the team announced Tuesday.

Brady replaces Sean McDermott, who was fired last week after the Bills were eliminated by the Denver Broncos in the AFC divisional round of the playoffs. McDermott had spent nine seasons as head coach in Buffalo, taking the team to the playoffs in eight of those seasons.

The payout was a sweet $1200 for every $100 bet on Brady to become the next head coach as of Tuesday morning.