Post Position Draws Kentucky Derby - Best and Worst - Latest Odds

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Apr/27/2025

This year's Kentucky Derby post position draw took place on Saturday April 26.  Traditionally, the post position draw takes place the Tuesday before the big race. The rationale is that Churchill Downs officials wanted to provide ample enough time for media outlets like Gambling911.com to mull over the gate positions as they have proven critical in handicapping the Kentucky Derby.  Below we look over each post position and which has the best advantage and least advantage based on recent and historic wins.  All odds courtesy of BetPhoenix, which offers an industry-best 15% weekly horse rebate.

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2025 Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw

 Kentucky Derby 2025  Trainer  Jockey Odds*
  1. Citizen Bull Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 20-1
  2. Neoequos Saffie Joseph Jr. Flavien Prat** 30-1
  3. Final Gambit Brad Cox Luan Machado 30-1
  4. Rodríguez Bob Baffert Mike Smith 12-1
  5. American Promise D. Wayne Lukas Nik Juárez 30-1
  6. Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato Christophe Lemaire 30-1
  7. Luxor Café Noriyuki Hori João Moreira 15-1
  8. Journalism Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 3-1
  9. Burnham Square Ian Wilkes Brian Hernandez Jr. 12-1
10. Grande Todd Pletcher John Velázquez 20-1
11. Flying Mohawk Whit Beckman Joe Ramos 30-1
12. East Avenue Brendan Walsh Manny Franco 20-1
13. Publisher Steve Asmussen Irad Ortiz Jr. 20-1
14. Tiztastic Steve Asmussen Joel Rosario 20-1
15. Render Judgment Kenny McPeek Julien Leparoux 30-1
16. Coal Battle Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas 30-1
17. Sandman Mark Casse Jose Ortiz 6-1
18. Sovereignty Bill Mott Júnior Alvarado 5-1
19. Chunk of Gold Ethan West Jareth Loveberry 30-1
20. Owen Almighty Brian Lynch Javier Castellano 30-1
21. Baeza - ae John Shirreffs Flavien Prat 12-1

Best Post Positions

Post Position 5: The post position that has produced the most winners in the Kentucky Derby.  A total of ten horses have won from this position.  American Promise is set to start from the No. 5 spot with 10-1 odds.

Post No. 10: 9 winners, with a higher winning percentage than Post No. 5. ​ Grande comes in at 17-1 odds..

Post No. 8: 9 winners, including Mage in 2023.  Journalism starts here and is the early favorite to win.

Post Position 20: Post No. 20 has the highest winning percentage—11.1%— but we must consider the smaller sample size, with only 18 starters. Big Brown won in 2008 and Rich Strike did so in 2022.

Worst Post Positions

Post Position 1: Citizen Bull gets the outside post (No. 1).  He will need to navigate a tight and crowded field.

The last horse to win the Kentucky Derby from post position No. 1 was Ferdinand in 1986.

Post Position 17: The post position that has never produced a winner in the Kentucky Derby is post position 17.  Sorry Sandman.  It's possible that scratches could result in a different horse starting from this position.

Post Position 6: Despite being used 94 times, this position has produced only two winners, Sea Hero in 1993 and another in 1957.  This does not bode well for Admire Daytona, who already comes into this year's race with long 34-1 odds.

Post Position 14: This position has produced only two winners since 1930, with the most recent being Carry Back in 1961. Tiztastic starts here at 19-1 odds.

Post Position 19: With only one winner, I'll Have Another in 2012, this position has a win percentage of 4.2%.  Chunk of Gold starts here and is tied with Admire Daytona for the longest odds at 34-1.

2025 Kentucky Derby Early Odds

Rot     To Win The Kentucky Derby 2025     Moneyline
1     Citizen Bull         +1400
3     Sandman         +800
4     Journalism         +325
17     Rodriguez         +1200
28     East Avenue         +2400
29     Burnham Square         +1450
30     Sovereignty         +600
32     Coal Battle         +2100
34     Owen Almighty         +4000
45     Tiztastic         +1900
52     Luxor Cafe         +950
58     Grande         +1700
60     Final Gambit         -1900
63     American Promise         +1000
64     Flying Mohawk         +5000
65     Neoequos         +6000
66     Publisher         +2900
67     Chunk Of Gold         +3400
68     Admire Daytona         +3400

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