Danzing Candy Chances of Winning the 2016 Kentucky Derby: Early 30-1

Danzing Candy had long odds of winning this year’s Kentucky Derby at 30-1, but his chances may actually be better than most pundits think.

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Weather will play a major role in whether one should place a bet on Danzing Candy or not as a sloppy track will almost certainly guarantee a poor performance.

Horse Racing Nation writes of the San Felipe Stakes Grade II winner Danzing Candy:

Looking at the current projected field for the Kentucky Derby there is only one horse that has shown he must be on the lead to run his best race: Danzing Candy. Danzing Candy burst onto the Triple Crown trail in the San Felipe. He set a fast but uncontested pace and kept going all the way to the wire. He left fellow Kentucky Derby contenders Exaggerator and Mor Spirit in his dust. He was the first three year old that looked like he might be able to unseat Nyquist. Then came the Santa Anita Derby over a sloppy track.

The sloppy track was not the only variable that cost Danzing Candy the race. He also had to work to secure the lead early and in doing so he ran off. Mike Smith was unable to rein him in down the backstretch and not surprisingly he had nothing left in the final fulrongs of the race. In two races we learned a lot about this lightly raced horse.

EARLY ODDS BELOW SUBJECT TO CHANGE

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com