What Are the Payout Odds if Publisher Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?
Publisher will offer a payout of $2000 for every $100 bet to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby.
Publisher is a 3 year old colt and has raced from 2024 to 2025. He was sired by American Pharoah out of the Proud Citizen mare Indian Pride.
Key Factors That Could Lead to Publisher Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Trainer (7)
Steve Asmussen has never won the Kentucky Derby. Despite being the all-time leading trainer in North America with over 10,000 career wins. This is one of two horses he is entering in the big race, the other being Publisher at the same 20-1 odds.
Asmussen tied with Brad Cox for the most wins in Kentucky in 2024, each with 96 victories.
Jockey (8)
Irad Ortiz Jr. has not won the Kentucky Derby. He has participated in the race multiple times. Nevertheless, Ortiz Jr. is one of the top jockies in the world.
In fact, Ortiz Jr. is currently ranked as the leading jockey in North America based on earnings, with a total of $9,497,432.
Why Publisher Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby
Trainer (4)
From the Courier Journal:
"No trainer has entered more horses without winning the Kentucky Derby than Asmussen (0 for 26). Perhaps this one’s just not meant to be for the Hall of Famer."
Past Performance (4)
He's never won a race, however, his most recent start was a 2nd place finish in the Arkansas Derby. Otherwise he is 0-for-7.
More Reasons Publisher Might Not Win (1)
Only three maidens have won the Kentucky Derby, the last coming in 1933 (Brokers Tip).
2025 Kentucky Derby Updated Post Positions and Odds
- Gate 1: Citizen Bull (17-1)
- Gate 2: Neoequos (57-1)
- Gate 3: Final Gambit (17-1)
- Gate 4: American Promise (13-1)
- Gate 5: Admire Daytona (39-1)
- Gate 6: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
- Gate 7: Journalism (7-2)
- Gate 8: Burnham Square (19-1)
- Gate 9: Grande (19-1)
- Gate 10: Flying Mohawk (36-1)
- Gate 11: East Avenue (33-1)
- Gate 12: Publisher (30-1)
- Gate 13: Tiztastic (20-1)
- Gate 14: Render Judgment (13-1)
- Gate 15: Coal Battle (30-1)
- Gate 16: Sandman (5-1)
- Gate 17: Sovereignty (11-1)
- Gate 18: Chunk of Gold (33-1)
- Gate 19: Owen Almighty (44-1)
- Gate 20: Baeza (50-1)
Early Odds to Win the 2025 Kentucky Derby
*Listed in order of post position
| Kentucky Derby 2025 | Trainer | Jockey | Odds* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Citizen Bull | Bob Baffert | Martin Garcia | 20-1 |
| 2. Neoequos | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Flavien Prat** | 30-1 |
| 3. Final Gambit | Brad Cox | Luan Machado | 30-1 |
| 4. Rodríguez | Bob Baffert | Mike Smith | 12-1 |
| 5. American Promise | D. Wayne Lukas | Nik Juárez | 30-1 |
| 6. Admire Daytona | Yukihiro Kato | Christophe Lemaire | 30-1 |
| 7. Luxor Café | Noriyuki Hori | João Moreira | 15-1 |
| 8. Journalism | Michael McCarthy | Umberto Rispoli | 3-1 |
| 9. Burnham Square | Ian Wilkes | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 12-1 |
| 10. Grande | Todd Pletcher | John Velázquez | 20-1 |
| 11. Flying Mohawk | Whit Beckman | Joe Ramos | 30-1 |
| 12. East Avenue | Brendan Walsh | Manny Franco | 20-1 |
| 13. Publisher | Steve Asmussen | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 20-1 |
| 14. Tiztastic | Steve Asmussen | Joel Rosario | 20-1 |
| 15. Render Judgment | Kenny McPeek | Julien Leparoux | 30-1 |
| 16. Coal Battle | Lonnie Briley | Juan Vargas | 30-1 |
| 17. Sandman | Mark Casse | Jose Ortiz | 6-1 |
| 18. Sovereignty | Bill Mott | Júnior Alvarado | 5-1 |
| 19. Chunk of Gold | Ethan West | Jareth Loveberry | 30-1 |
| 20. Owen Almighty | Brian Lynch | Javier Castellano | 30-1 |
| 21. Baeza - ae | John Shirreffs | Flavien Prat | 12-1 |
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