What Are the Payout Odds if Sovereignty Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?
Sovereignty will offer a payout of $1100 for every $100 bet to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby.
Sovereignty is a 3 year old colt and has raced from 2024 to 2025. He was sired by Into Mischief out of the Bernardini mare Crowned.
Key Factors That Could Lead to Sovereignty Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Past Performance (9)
He's won two of his last three races, finishing second in his most recent in the Florida Derby.
The winner of that race has gone on to win the Kentucky Derby a total of 15 times, making it the biggest producer of Kentucky Derby winners. While he didn't win, Sovereignty's second place finish is nothing to sneeze at. More importantly, the winner of this year's Florida Derby, Tappan Street, has been scratched from the Kentucky Derby.
Trainer (7)
Bill Mott has won the Kentucky Derby once, in 2019, with Country House. That, however, was a result of a disqualification.
Mott hasn't had a whole lot of luck in this race considering he's been part of 14 Kentucky Derbies to date.
Mott achieved 91 wins from 612 starts this past year, resulting in a win percentage of approximately 15%.
Jockey (5)
Júnior Alvarado has ridden in the Derby five times, with his best finish being fourth aboard Mohaymen in 2016 . In the 2024 Kentucky Derby, Alvarado finished sixth aboard Resilience .
Why Sovereignty Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby
Post Position (1)
With Rodriguez scratched, Sovereignty moves into the No. 17 post position. No horse has ever won from the No. 17 spot.
2025 Kentucky Derby Updated Post Positions and Odds
- Gate 1: Citizen Bull (17-1)
- Gate 2: Neoequos (57-1)
- Gate 3: Final Gambit (17-1)
- Gate 4: American Promise (13-1)
- Gate 5: Admire Daytona (39-1)
- Gate 6: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
- Gate 7: Journalism (7-2)
- Gate 8: Burnham Square (19-1)
- Gate 9: Grande (19-1)
- Gate 10: Flying Mohawk (36-1)
- Gate 11: East Avenue (33-1)
- Gate 12: Publisher (30-1)
- Gate 13: Tiztastic (20-1)
- Gate 14: Render Judgment (13-1)
- Gate 15: Coal Battle (30-1)
- Gate 16: Sandman (5-1)
- Gate 17: Sovereignty (11-1)
- Gate 18: Chunk of Gold (33-1)
- Gate 19: Owen Almighty (44-1)
- Gate 20: Baeza (50-1)
Early Odds to Win the 2025 Kentucky Derby
*Listed in order of post position
| Kentucky Derby 2025 | Trainer | Jockey | Odds* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Citizen Bull | Bob Baffert | Martin Garcia | 20-1 |
| 2. Neoequos | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Flavien Prat** | 30-1 |
| 3. Final Gambit | Brad Cox | Luan Machado | 30-1 |
| 4. Rodríguez | Bob Baffert | Mike Smith | 12-1 |
| 5. American Promise | D. Wayne Lukas | Nik Juárez | 30-1 |
| 6. Admire Daytona | Yukihiro Kato | Christophe Lemaire | 30-1 |
| 7. Luxor Café | Noriyuki Hori | João Moreira | 15-1 |
| 8. Journalism | Michael McCarthy | Umberto Rispoli | 3-1 |
| 9. Burnham Square | Ian Wilkes | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 12-1 |
| 10. Grande | Todd Pletcher | John Velázquez | 20-1 |
| 11. Flying Mohawk | Whit Beckman | Joe Ramos | 30-1 |
| 12. East Avenue | Brendan Walsh | Manny Franco | 20-1 |
| 13. Publisher | Steve Asmussen | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 20-1 |
| 14. Tiztastic | Steve Asmussen | Joel Rosario | 20-1 |
| 15. Render Judgment | Kenny McPeek | Julien Leparoux | 30-1 |
| 16. Coal Battle | Lonnie Briley | Juan Vargas | 30-1 |
| 17. Sandman | Mark Casse | Jose Ortiz | 6-1 |
| 18. Sovereignty | Bill Mott | Júnior Alvarado | 5-1 |
| 19. Chunk of Gold | Ethan West | Jareth Loveberry | 30-1 |
| 20. Owen Almighty | Brian Lynch | Javier Castellano | 30-1 |
| 21. Baeza - ae | John Shirreffs | Flavien Prat | 12-1 |
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