Track Phantom Payout Odds to Win the Kentucky Derby?

Track Phantom comes in with 20-1 odds to win this year's Kentucky Derby, a definite long shot with a payout of $2000 on every $100 bet. 

Track Phantom is a 3 year old colt and has raced from 2023 to 2024. He was sired by Quality Road out of the Into Mischief mare Miss Sunset.

Key Factors That Could Lead to Track Phantom Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby

Trainer (6)

He is trained by Steven M. Asmussen.  He is among the most recognizable and accomplished trainers to have never won a Kentucky Derby.

A quality trainer who is due for a win but we also need to be realistic here.

Jockey (6)

Joel Rosario will be the jockey for Track Phantom.

He won the 2013 Kentucky Derby with Orb and the Belmont Stakes in 2014 with Tonalist and in 2019 with Sir Winston. The 39-year-old native of the Dominican Republic also has won 15 Breeders' Cup races

More Reason to Bet on Track Phantom (5)

Following his win at the Lecomte, Asmussen offered this:

"I couldn't be any prouder of the horse. He's won all three of his two-turn races," said trainer Steve Asmussen after his fourth Lecomte victory. "He has a beautiful way of going and I think he's going to get better. He's a beautiful mover and we're excited to be in this position."

He added: "I love how he's running here in the 3-year-old series at the Fair Grounds and we plan on continuing in it. We like the opportunity to gradually stretch him out," Asmussen said. "We're going to try and follow the same plan as we did with Epicenter, but come up a half-length faster."

Why Track Phantom Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby

Past Performance (4)

Sure he won the Lecomte, but he also placed 4th at the Louisiana Derby, his last race coming into this one.  Prior to that he had a 2nd place showing at the Risen Stakes.

He's a 20-1 long shot for a reason with odds way off from the two favorites: Sierra Leone and Fierceness.

Odds to Win the 2024 Kentucky Derby

1     Fierceness         +275
3     Track Phantom         +2000
4     Dornoch         +1500
5     Sierra Leone         +325
6     Hades         +4000
7     Mystik Dan         +2000
11     Epic Ride         +5000
13     Catching Freedom         +1000
15     Honor Marie         +2000
17     Domestic Product         +2200
19     Just Steel         +2500
20     Resilience         +2000
29     Stronghold         +2000
30     Just A Touch         +1700
34     Forever Young         +800
38     Encino         +2800
43     Endlessly         +2500
49     Common Defense         +6600
50     West Saratoga         +6600
51     T O Password         +7500
52     Catalytic         +6000
53     Society Man         +6600
54     Grand Mo The First         +7500

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com