What Are the Payout Odds if Honor Marie Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?
Honor Marie had some value at 16-1 odds of winning this year's Kentucky Derby. That would be a $1600 payout on a $100 bet.
Honor Marie was sired by Honor Code out of the Smart Strike mare Dame Marie. He was trained by D. Whitworth Beckman.
Key Factors That Could Lead to Honor Marie Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Past Performance (6)
Following a win at the Jockey Club, Honor Marie would go on to finish 5th in the Risen Star before a 2nd place finish at the Louisiana Derby his last start. All three of Honor Marie's races as a 2-year-old came at Churchill Downs, where he broke his maiden Sept. 29.
Jockey Club Win (6)
Eight horses that have run this prep race have gone on to win the Kentucky Derby.
Post Position (7)
A horse has placed in the money from the No. 7 post position in 21.5% of the 93 races the post has been occupied. The most recent winner to come from the seventh starting post was Mandaloun in 2021.
More Reason to Bet on Honor Marie (5)
This is the horse that "contrarians are touting", according to Jason Frakes of the Courier-Journal.
He is expected to relish the longer 1 ¼-mile distance of the Kentucky Derby.
“You know he’s going to stay the trip, which is a question mark on a lot of the others,” jockey Ben Curtis said, noting Honor Marie has two victories at Churchill Downs. “He has course form. He looks a million dollars. … He’s such a strong closer. With the long stretch here, it’s going to suit him down to the ground.”
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Honor Marie the "Cinderella of This Year's Kentucky Derby"? Brian Zipse of Horse Racing Nation writes: "Accomplished at the host track of the Kentucky Derby, Honor Marie will offer juicy odds in the big race because he has yet to win yet as a 3-year-old. Pointing for the Kentucky Derby all along, though, he should be ready for his best performance of the year at just the right time. "His second start of the year came in the Louisiana Derby, and Honor Marie showed solid improvement in the 1 3/16-mile race. He once again came from well back, and this time he fell only one length short of victory when second to Catching Freedom. "All signs point to a good effort from Honor Marie in the Kentucky Derby. Making his third start of the year, he should be well prepared to run his best race yet as a 3-year-old." |
Why Honor Marie Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby
Trainer (4)
Beckman grew up in Louisville and got his first horse racing job at iconic Churchill Downs.
Beckman started coming into his own in 2023 with Harlan Estate becoming his first stakes winner. Honor Marie would go on to become his first graded stakes winner last November.
His experience, however, is limited coming into this year's Kentucky Derby.
Jockey (4)
This will be Irish jockey Ben Curtis' first Kentucky Derby. He had a first-place finish in the 2020 Albany (G3) at Royal Ascot and placed 2nd in the Louisiana Derby.
Mudder (1)
Don't bet him if there is rain in the forecast. His two worst performances came in the slop.
Odds to Win the 2024 Kentucky Derby
After Post Position Draw
1 Dornoch +2000
2 Sierra Leone +300
3 Mystik Dan +2200
4 Catching Freedom +900
5 Catalytic +4000
6 Just Steel +2500
7 Honor Marie +1600
8 Just a Touch +1100
10 TO Password +3500
11 Forever Young +800
12 Track Phantom +2700
13 West Saratoga +4500
14 Endlessly +2600
15 Domestic Product +2500
16 Grand Mo the First +5000
17 Fierceness +275
18 Stronghold +2000
19 Resilience +2400
20 Society Man +4000
21 AE/21 Epic Ride +5000
Early
1 Fierceness +275
3 Track Phantom +2000
4 Dornoch +2000
5 Sierra Leone +325
6 Hades +4000
7 Mystik Dan +2000
11 Epic Ride +5000
13 Catching Freedom +1000
15 Honor Marie +2000
17 Domestic Product +2200
19 Just Steel +2500
20 Resilience +2000
29 Stronghold +2000
30 Just A Touch +1700
34 Forever Young +800
38 Encino +2800
43 Endlessly +2500
49 Common Defense +6600
50 West Saratoga +6600
51 T O Password +7500
52 Catalytic +6000
53 Society Man +6600
54 Grand Mo The First +7500
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