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Japan has seen a hotbed in horse racing over the last few years, but no horse from Japan has ever won a Kentucky Derby. Can that change this year with TO Password? He's coming in at 35-1 odds for a payout potential of $3500 on every $100 bet.
TO Password was sired by Copano Rickey out of the King Kamehameha mare T O Rachel.
Japanese horse racing is like a family affair.
"Other Japanese connections are great friends, all of us," said T O Password's trainer Daisuke Takayanagi in remarks translated by racing manager Hiroshi Ando. "That's why everybody told me a lot of information from their experiences."
This will be Takayanagi's first Kentucky Derby.
TO Password has less experience than his Japanese counterpart racing in this year's Derby, Forever Young.
Key Factors That Could Lead to TO Password Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Past Performance (6)
He's won both of his races, the Fukuryu Stakes and the Newcomer.
Jockey (6)
Kazushi Kimura took his riding talents from Japan to North America, where he was honored this month with his third consecutive Sovereign Award as Canada’s champion jockey. He also won a Sovereign in 2018 and Eclipse Award in 2019 as the top apprentice jockey. Riding winters at Santa Anita and summers at Woodbine, Kimura had a career year in 2023 with $8,798,122 in earnings and 175 wins, including Gold Phoenix’s 10-1 upset in the Frank E. Kilroe Mile (G1) at Santa Anita. - Source: Horse Racing Nation
Why TO Password Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby
Post Position (2)
One of the worst. Tomy Lee and Venetian Way posted back-to-back wins in 1959 and 1960 from the ninth post, but a horse has not won from here since 1972 (Riva Ridge).
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It's Just a Matter of Time"Japanese horses have been formidable for years now on an international stage. It's just a matter of time until one of them wins the Kentucky Derby if they keep supporting the Derby the way they are currently. He's a perfect 5-for-5. He won the UAE Derby despite going four wide on both turns". - Source: Bloodhorse |
Odds to Win the 2024 Kentucky Derby
After Post Position Draw
1 Dornoch +2000
2 Sierra Leone +300
3 Mystik Dan +2200
4 Catching Freedom +900
5 Catalytic +4000
6 Just Steel +2500
7 Honor Marie +1600
8 Just a Touch +1100
10 TO Password +3500
11 Forever Young +800
12 Track Phantom +2700
13 West Saratoga +4500
14 Endlessly +2600
15 Domestic Product +2500
16 Grand Mo the First +5000
17 Fierceness +275
18 Stronghold +2000
19 Resilience +2400
20 Society Man +4000
21 AE/21 Epic Ride +5000
Early
1 Fierceness +275
3 Track Phantom +2000
4 Dornoch +2000
5 Sierra Leone +325
6 Hades +4000
7 Mystik Dan +2000
11 Epic Ride +5000
13 Catching Freedom +1000
15 Honor Marie +2000
17 Domestic Product +2200
19 Just Steel +2500
20 Resilience +2000
29 Stronghold +2000
30 Just A Touch +1700
34 Forever Young +800
38 Encino +2800
43 Endlessly +2500
49 Common Defense +6600
50 West Saratoga +6600
51 T O Password +7500
52 Catalytic +6000
53 Society Man +6600
54 Grand Mo The First +7500
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