What Are the Payout Odds if West Saratoga Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?

Written by:
Tyrone Black
Published on:
May/03/2024

West Saratoga pays $6000 for every $100 bet with a Kentucky Derby win and is the biggest long shot of this year's race.

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 was sired by Exaggerator out of the Uncle Mo mare Mo Wicked. He is trained by Larry W. Demeritte

Key Factors That Could Lead to West Saratoga Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby

Past Performance (6)

One win in a graded race and he's come in second or third in his last three.  A 5th placement at the Breeders Futurity has been his worst showing.

His one victory was at the Grade 3 Iroquois.

Jockey (6)

Jesus Castanon finished fourth aboard Shackleford in 2011. They set the pace and led at the eighth pole only to be overtaken by eventual winner Animal Kingdom.

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Kentucky Derby Biggest Long Shot to Win

The biggest long-shot winner in the Kentucky Derby's 149-year history was Donerail, who won “The Run for the Roses” in 1913 at 91-1 odds. A $2 win bet paid $184.90 on the horse after its half-length win at Churchill Downs over front-running favorite Ten Point.

More recently, we had the second-biggest long shot to win the Derby just two years ago (2022).  And this one was not even in the field until Ethereal Road was scratched the day before, with Rich Strike being added from the also-eligible list.

Why West Saratoga Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby

Trainer (3)

Making this brother mighty proud, Demeritte is the second Black trainer since 1951 to be saddling a horse in the Kentucky Derby.  There is plenty of lack of experience to go around to dim West Saratoga's chances however. 

“He’s getting better with every start,” he said. “I’ve been around a lot of good horses and this horse really matches up to a lot of them.”

It’s the first Derby for West Saratoga owner Harry Veruchi.

“I bought my first horse in 1982, and two weeks later he won at Centennial Race Track in Littleton, Colorado,” Veruchi said. “I thought, this is easy. And now, to be here, who would have thought it? I don’t know anybody who has been in the Kentucky Derby or even anybody who has won a graded stake.”

The only one with any Derby experience in their group is jockey Castanon. He finished fourth aboard Shackleford in 2011. They set the pace and led at the eighth pole only to be overtaken by eventual winner Animal Kingdom.

Odds to Win the 2024 Kentucky Derby

All odds courtesy of BetOnline - Live odds here

1     Dornoch         +2500
2     Sierra Leone         +275
3     Mystik Dan         +2400
4     Catching Freedom         +900
5     Catalytic         +4000
6     Just Steel         +2500
7     Honor Marie         +1600
8     Just a Touch         +1100
10     TO Password         +4000
11     Forever Young         +800
12     Track Phantom         +2800
13     West Saratoga         +6000
14     Endlessly         +2800
15     Domestic Product         +2700
16     Grand Mo the First         +5000
17     Fierceness         +250
18     Stronghold         +1700
19     Resilience         +2400
20     Society Man         +2700
21     AE/21 Epic Ride         +4000

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