What Are the Payout Odds if Luxor Cafe Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?
Luxor Cafe will offer a payout of $1500 for every $100 bet to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby.
Luxor Cafe is a 3 year old colt and has raced in 2025. He was sired by American Pharoah out of the More Than Ready mare Mary's Follies.
Key Factors That Could Lead to Luxor Cafe Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Mudder (10)
On August 31, 2024, he finished second in a 1 1/16-mile maiden special weight at Sapporo, Japan, on a muddy dirt track, completing the race in 1:45.85. He's had success running on tracks classified as "good" or "muddy". His sire, American Pharoah, has a 17% win rate on muddy tracks. Saturday's forecast calls for rain.
Past Performance (7)
He’s won four straight races and has a Triple Crown winner sire American Pharoah in his blood.
Post Position (6)
Seven horses have won the race from the No. 6 post position. This includes notable horses like Secretariat in 1973, one of the most famous winners in Derby history.
Why Luxor Cafe Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby
Trainer (4)
With a career spanning over two decades, Hori has trained multiple champions, including Duramente, Maurice, Neorealism, and Satono Crown.
More Reasons He Might Not Win (2)
From the Courier Journal:
"Forever Young was perhaps the best horse ever from Japan to compete in the Kentucky Derby and finished third last year. Luxor Cafe doesn’t appear to be on his level."
2025 Kentucky Derby Updated Post Positions and Odds
- Gate 1: Citizen Bull (17-1)
- Gate 2: Neoequos (57-1)
- Gate 3: Final Gambit (17-1)
- Gate 4: American Promise (13-1)
- Gate 5: Admire Daytona (39-1)
- Gate 6: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
- Gate 7: Journalism (7-2)
- Gate 8: Burnham Square (19-1)
- Gate 9: Grande (19-1)
- Gate 10: Flying Mohawk (36-1)
- Gate 11: East Avenue (33-1)
- Gate 12: Publisher (30-1)
- Gate 13: Tiztastic (20-1)
- Gate 14: Render Judgment (13-1)
- Gate 15: Coal Battle (30-1)
- Gate 16: Sandman (5-1)
- Gate 17: Sovereignty (11-1)
- Gate 18: Chunk of Gold (33-1)
- Gate 19: Owen Almighty (44-1)
- Gate 20: Baeza (50-1)
Early Odds to Win the 2025 Kentucky Derby
*Listed in order of post position
| Kentucky Derby 2025 | Trainer | Jockey | Odds* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Citizen Bull | Bob Baffert | Martin Garcia | 20-1 |
| 2. Neoequos | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Flavien Prat** | 30-1 |
| 3. Final Gambit | Brad Cox | Luan Machado | 30-1 |
| 4. Rodríguez | Bob Baffert | Mike Smith | 12-1 |
| 5. American Promise | D. Wayne Lukas | Nik Juárez | 30-1 |
| 6. Admire Daytona | Yukihiro Kato | Christophe Lemaire | 30-1 |
| 7. Luxor Café | Noriyuki Hori | João Moreira | 15-1 |
| 8. Journalism | Michael McCarthy | Umberto Rispoli | 3-1 |
| 9. Burnham Square | Ian Wilkes | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 12-1 |
| 10. Grande | Todd Pletcher | John Velázquez | 20-1 |
| 11. Flying Mohawk | Whit Beckman | Joe Ramos | 30-1 |
| 12. East Avenue | Brendan Walsh | Manny Franco | 20-1 |
| 13. Publisher | Steve Asmussen | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 20-1 |
| 14. Tiztastic | Steve Asmussen | Joel Rosario | 20-1 |
| 15. Render Judgment | Kenny McPeek | Julien Leparoux | 30-1 |
| 16. Coal Battle | Lonnie Briley | Juan Vargas | 30-1 |
| 17. Sandman | Mark Casse | Jose Ortiz | 6-1 |
| 18. Sovereignty | Bill Mott | Júnior Alvarado | 5-1 |
| 19. Chunk of Gold | Ethan West | Jareth Loveberry | 30-1 |
| 20. Owen Almighty | Brian Lynch | Javier Castellano | 30-1 |
| 21. Baeza - ae | John Shirreffs | Flavien Prat | 12-1 |
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