Written by :
Published on :
DES MOINES, Iowa (Gambling911.com) - The Iowa Senate race is as close as they come. On Sunday, Democrat Josh Turek received some welcome news as the latest YouGov poll shows him up one point over Republican Ashley Hinson. Oddsmakers at BetOnline still have Hinson as the -150 favorite and Turek paying $120 for every $100 bet should he win.
Both candidates odds of winning at BetOnline have remained mostly unchanged over the last four days.
Speaking at a rally earlier in the day in Iowa, President Trump insisted the Republicans were on the cusp of sweeping victories on Election Day on Tuesday.
“We're going to elect ‘America first’ Republicans up and down the line,” he said.
Polk County Auditor Jamie Fitzgerald said the Polk County Election Office has broken early voting records for the last three days. Hours long lines were observed at many polling locations.
"This election has got a lot of polling where things look very close," Polk County Auditor Jamie Fitzgerald said. "People want to participate when it's close. We're seeing a lot more people come to our office and come to the satellite to participate."
All Odds Below Were as of October 29
Smaller Moves:
| Race | Candidate | Oct 22 → Oct 29 | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | Peltola (D) | -325 → -250 | 76% → 71% |
| Nebraska | Ricketts (R) | -300 → -250 | 75% → 71% |
| Michigan | El-Sayed (M) | -275 → -250 | 73% → 71% |
| Maine | Jackson (D) | -175 → -165 | 64% → 62% |
| Minnesota | Flanagan (D) | -1400 → -1000 | 93% → 91% |
| Arkansas | Cotton (R) | -2500 → -2000 | 96% → 95% |
| Mississippi | Hyde-Smith (R) | -1000 → -1200 | 91% → 92% |
| Iowa | Hinson (R) | -140 → -145 | 58% → 59% |
Margin-of-Victory Moves:
| Race | Change |
|---|---|
| North Carolina | Cooper’s line is new this week, at O/U 14.5% |
| South Dakota | Rounds 10.5% → 14.5% |
| Georgia | Ossoff 9.5% → 11.5% |
| Minnesota | Flanagan 6.5% → 8.5% |
| Alabama | Moore 19.5% → 18.5% |
| Arkansas | Cotton 15.5% → 14.5% |
| Florida (Special) | Moody 7.5% → 6.5% |
| State | Candidate | Odds | Probability |
| Alabama | Barry Moore (R) | -5000 | 98% |
| Everett Weiss (D) | +1600 | 2% | |
| Moore Margin of Victory | O/U 18.5% | ||
| Alaska | Dan Sullivan (R) | +200 | 29% |
| Mary Peltola (D) | -250 | 71% | |
| Arkansas | Tom Cotton (R) | -2000 | 95% |
| Hallie Schoffner (D) | +1000 | 5% | |
| Cotton Margin of Victory | O/U 14.5% | ||
| Colorado | Mark Baisley (R) | +2000 | 1% |
| John Hickenlooper (D) | -10000 | 99% | |
| Hickenlooper Margin of Victory | O/U 22.5% | ||
| Delaware | Michael Katz (R) | +4000 | 1% |
| Chris Coons (D) | -20000 | 99% | |
| Coons Margin of Victory | O/U 28.5% | ||
| Florida (Special) | Ashley Moody (R) | -1000 | 91% |
| Angie Nixon (D) | +600 | 9% | |
| Moody Margin of Victory | O/U 6.5% | ||
| Georgia | Mike Collins (R) | +1600 | 2% |
| Jon Ossoff (D) | -5000 | 98% | |
| Ossoff Margin of Victory | O/U 11.5% | ||
| Idaho | Jim Risch (R) | -1800 | 95% |
| David Roth (D) | +10000 | 1% | |
| Todd Achilles (I) | +900 | 4% | |
| Risch Margin of Victory | O/U 18.5% | ||
| Illinois | Don Tracy (R) | +4000 | 1% |
| Juliana Stratton (D) | -20000 | 99% | |
| Stratton Margin of Victory | O/U 22.5% | ||
| Iowa | Ashley Hinson (R) | -145 | 59% |
| Josh Turek (D) | +115 | 41% | |
| Kansas | Roger Marshall (R) | -115 | 50% |
| Adam Hamilton (D) | -115 | 50% | |
| Kentucky | Andy Barr (R) | -4000 | 98% |
| Charles Booker (D) | +1500 | 2% | |
| Barr Margin of Victory | O/U 20.5% | ||
| Louisiana | Julia Letlow (R) | -1600 | 94% |
| Jamie Davis (D) | +800 | 6% | |
| Maine | Susan Collins (R) | +135 | 38% |
| Troy Jackson (D) | -165 | 62% | |
| Massachusetts | John Deaton (R) | +2000 | 1% |
| Ed Markey (D) | -10000 | 99% | |
| Markey Margin of Victory | O/U 32.5% | ||
| Michigan | Mike Rogers (R) | +200 | 29% |
| Abdul El-Sayed (M) | -250 | 71% | |
| Minnesota | Michele Tafoya (R) | +600 | 9% |
| Peggy Flanagan (D) | -1000 | 91% | |
| Flanagan Margin of Victory | O/U 8.5% | ||
| Mississippi | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | -1200 | 92% |
| Scott Colom (D) | +650 | 8% | |
| Hyde-Smith Margin of Victory | O/U 7.5% | ||
| Montana | Kurt Alme (R) | -2000 | 95% |
| Alani Bankhead (D) | +5000 | 1% | |
| Seth Bodnar (I) | +1000 | 4% | |
| Nebraska | Pete Ricketts (R) | -250 | 71% |
| Dan Osborn (I) | +200 | 29% | |
| New Hampshire | John Sununu (R) | +700 | 7% |
| Chris Pappas (D) | -1400 | 93% | |
| Pappas Margin of Victory | O/U 8.5% | ||
| New Jersey | Justin Murphy (R) | +1800 | 1% |
| Cory Booker (D) | -7500 | 99% | |
| Booker Margin of Victory | O/U 24.5% | ||
| New Mexico | Larry Marker (R) | +2000 | 1% |
| Ben Ray Lujan (D) | -10000 | 99% | |
| Lujan Margin of Victory | O/U 20.5% | ||
| North Carolina | Michael Whatley (R) | +2000 | 1% |
| Roy Cooper (D) | -10000 | 99% | |
| Cooper Margin of Victory | O/U 14.5% | ||
| Ohio (Special) | Jon Husted (R) | +185 | 31% |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | -225 | 69% | |
| Oklahoma | Kevin Hern (R) | -5000 | 98% |
| N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas (D) | +1600 | 2% | |
| Hern Margin of Victory | O/U 23.5% | ||
| Oregon | David Brock Smith (R) | +1600 | 2% |
| Jeff Merkley (D) | -5000 | 98% | |
| Merkley Margin of Victory | O/U 23.5% | ||
| Rhode Island | Raymond McKay (R) | +2000 | 1% |
| Jack Reed (D) | -10000 | 99% | |
| Reed Margin of Victory | O/U 30.5% | ||
| South Carolina | Darline Graham (R) | -275 | 73% |
| Annie Andrews (D) | +215 | 27% | |
| Graham Margin of Victory | O/U 4.5% | ||
| South Dakota | Mike Rounds (R) | -2000 | 95% |
| Brian Bengs (I) | +1000 | 5% | |
| Rounds Margin of Victory | O/U 14.5% | ||
| Tennessee | Bill Hagerty (R) | -10000 | 99% |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | +2000 | 1% | |
| Hagerty Margin of Victory | O/U 21.5% | ||
| Texas | Ken Paxton (R) | +180 | 31% |
| James Talarico (D) | -220 | 69% | |
| Virginia | Bert Mizusawa (R) | +2000 | 1% |
| Mark Warner (D) | -10000 | 99% | |
| Warner Margin of Victory | O/U 21.5% | ||
| West Virginia | Shelley Moore Capito (R) | -10000 | 99% |
| Rachel Fetty Anderson (D) | +2000 | 1% | |
| Capito Margin of Victory | O/U 32.5% | ||
| Wyoming | Harriet Hageman (R) | -10000 | 99% |
| James W. Byrd (D) | +2000 | 1% | |
| Hageman Margin of Victory | O/U 33.5% | 0 |
- T C Jackson, Gambling911.com
