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Karen Bass is favored to win re-election as the LA major as reality star Spencer Pratt promises a payout of $325 for every $100 bet
In the California Governor race, Xavier Becerra has pulled ahead of Tom Steyer overall, and he's just ahead of Steve Hilton to take Round 1
New Jersey and Iowa races are mostly tight
Most eyes will be on the California primaries next week (don't worry Montana, New Mexico, South Dakota...we'll have numbers for you Monday), so let's take a look at how those races are stacking up in the eyes of the oddsmakers.
Karen Bass has roughly a 65% chance to be elected as the next Mayor of Los Angeles, according to BetOnline.
This race has drawn plenty of national media attention, primarily a result of reality star Spencer Pratt entering the race. He currently promises a payout of $325 for every $100 bet.
In the California Governor race, Xavier Becerra has pulled ahead of Tom Steyer overall, and he's just ahead of Steve Hilton to take Round 1. Becerra's vote share is projected at 27.5% while Hilton's is 26.5% (Steyer at 20.5%).
Oil companies are making a massive cash splash to back Becerra in the final stretch of California’s race for governor, according to news reports from that state.
Steyer has mostly drawn attention to this. Becerra calls the criticism hypocritical.
“I’m not only an environmentalist, but I’ve been one of the most aggressive and one of the most productive environmentalists in the country,” Becerra said.
There are also six California House of Representatives races to monitor next Tuesday, and we have odds for those below as well.
Finally, the numbers suggest that the New Jersey Senate Republican Primary is a very tight race between Alex Zdan and Richard Tabor.
- Odds and information are provided by BetOnline.ag --
Next California Governor
Xavier Becerra -215
Tom Steyer +225
Steve Hilton 11/1
Katie Porter 33/1
Matt Mahan 33/1
Chad Bianco 50/1
(NOTE: Odds imply a 68.3% probability of victory for Becerra)
California Governor - Round 1 First Place
Xavier Becerra -300
Steve Hilton +265
Tom Steyer 10/1
Chad Bianco 65/1
Katie Porter 80/1
Matt Mahan 80/1
(NOTE: Odds imply a 75% probability of victory for Becerra)
CA Governor - Round 1 Becerra Vote Share
Over/Under 27.5%
CA Governor - Round 1 Hilton Vote Share
Over/Under 26.5%
CA Governor - Round 1 Steyer Vote Share
Over/Under 20.5%
CA Governor - Round 1 Becerra Margin of Victory
Over/Under 2.5%
CA-01 - Special Election Primary First Place
James Gallagher -500
Mike McGuire 3/1
Audrey Denney 22/1
(NOTE: Odds imply an 83.3% probability of victory for Gallagher)
CA-04 - Primary First Place
Mike Thompson -900
Eric Jones 5/1
(NOTE: Odds imply a 90% probability of victory for Thompson)
CA-07 - Primary First Place
Doris Matsui -500
Mai Vang 3/1
(NOTE: Odds imply an 83.3% probability of victory for Matsui)
CA-27 - Primary First Place
George Whitesides -250
Jason Gibbs +170
(NOTE: Odds imply a 71.4% probability of victory for Whitesides)
CA-40 - Primary First Place
Young Kim -300
Esther Kim Varet 4/1
Ken Calvert 9/2
(NOTE: Odds imply a 75% probability of victory for Kim)
CA-41 - Primary First Place
Linda Sanchez -650
Mitch Clemmons 6/1
Hector De La Torre 7/1
(NOTE: Odds imply an 86.7% probability of victory for Sanchez)
Next Los Angeles Mayor
Karen Bass -190
Nithya Raman +325
Spencer Pratt +375
(NOTE: Odds imply a 65.5% probability of victory for Bass)
Los Angeles Mayor - Round 1 First Place
Karen Bass -325
Spencer Pratt +425
Nithya Raman +475
(NOTE: Odds imply a 76.5% probability of victory for Bass)
LA Mayor - Round 1 Bass Vote Share
Over/Under 35.5%
LA Mayor - Round 1 Pratt Vote Share
Over/Under 24.5%
New Jersey Senate - Republican Primary
Alex Zdan -140
Richard Tabor +105
Justin Murphy 15/1
(NOTE: Odds imply a 58.3% probability of victory for Zdan)
Iowa Senate - Democratic Primary
Josh Turek -2000
Zach Wahls 7/1
(NOTE: Odds imply a 95.2% probability of victory for Turek)
- T. C. Jackson, Gambling911.com
