Kansas State vs TCU Betting Analysis October 22
No. 17 Kansas State faces #8 TCU in a showdown of ranked teams. Kansas State is 5-1 and TCU is 6-0. Both teams are 4-1-1 Against The Spread. The college football odds make TCU a short home favorite. Is Kansas State being overlooked? Which team should you back to make the winning NCAAF pick?
BetUS host Gary Segars, and college football expert handicappers Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming preview College Football Week 8 game between Kansas State and TCU. They'll go over the best value college football odds available and betting trends and share their College Football expert analysis and predictions.
TCU has gone from a -5.5 favorite to -3.5.
Looking at the Sagarin numbers we get TCU at 86.58 after home field has been factored in. Subtract Kansas State's 82.32, we get 4.26. At -3.5, this was a pretty accurate line. There was a 2-point overlay initially.
Our sampling of games where the line was on the money and had not been more than a 2 point overlay or underlay appear below. This doesn't necessarily bode well for TCU.
(favorite-dog-push):
1-8-1 (these games were hitting or crossing over or just under the number 3 at some point during the course of the week leading up to game time).
4-4-2 (these games were hitting or crossing over or just under the 6 with a range to just over 7 at some point during the course of the week leading up to game time).
5-0-0 (these games were hitting or crossing over or just under the number 10 with a line range just over the number 14 during the courese of the week leading up to the game.
A good comparable game is FAU -3 to -5.5 vs. Ohio in which the home dog won outright. This one was on the money and became a 2.5 overlay. In the case of KSU vs. Texas Christian, the home team is the favorite as opposed to FAU as the road favorite.
Adrian Martinez passed for 246 yards and rushed for 77 for the Wildcats.
Chris Tennant kicked a 30-yard field goal with 7:14 left in the fourth quarter to provide the winning margin.
"Playing football is crazy," Kansas State receiver Phillip Brooks said. "You never know when your opportunity is."
Brooks finished with 119 yards on four receptions, and Malik Knowles made five catches for 108.
Kendre Miller scored on a 2-yard run in the second overtime and TCU won 43-40 in a matchup of the Big 12's last remaining undefeated teams Saturday. The Frogs trailed quickly after quarterback Spencer Sanders had TD runs on Oklahoma State's the first two drives, and TCU still trailed by two touchdowns in the fourth quarter.
"Great win for our program," Dykes said. "We made every mistake humanly possible in the first half, and guys just kind of kept hanging in there battling and I really thought we had a good mentality at halftime. ... Then we just came out defensively in the second half and just played lights out."
