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Betting action was about 94% on the UNLV Rebels and 80% on the OVER. It's safe to say that hardly anyone was backing the Cowboys early on.
There was quite the effort to get action on Las Vegas Wednesday as the line moved from -5 down to -3.5 and back up to -5.5 by Thursday afternoon at Circa Sportsbook and Bovada as well.
UNLV is a good team with a 7-2 record Straight Up and an even better record Against The Spread, 8-1.
Sagarin gives us a line of 3.43. That's the number the books all dropped to on Wednesday only to rebound back to 5 and 5.5. That's giving us an overlay of 1.5 to 2 points. Overlays in this range from 3/3.5/4 tend to perform well for the underdogs at a near 80% clip.
And Wyoming is far from a bad team. They've gone 6-3 SU and 5-3-1 ATS so far this season. Head-to-head dating back to 2011, Wyoming is 5-1 versus the Rebels.
The total featured an early number of 51, down to 50.5, this despite 80% or more lopsided action on the OVER. The one game UNLV won was in overtime by a single point.
Game Prop Bets
3 Straight Scores by Either Team
Team to Score First
Any Team to Score 40+ Points
First score of Game is Touchdown
Will there be Overtime
Will there be a Scoreless Quarter
Time of First Score O/U 6 (mins elapsed)
Defensive or special teams TD scored
Team to Score Last
Margin of Victory Prop Bets
Wyoming to win by 1-6 pts +425
Wyoming to win by 7-12 pts +750
Wyoming to win by 13-18 pts +1200
Wyoming to win by 19-24 pts +2200
Wyoming to win by 25-30 pts +4000
Wyoming to win by 31-36 pts +5500
Wyoming to win by 37-42 pts +9000
Wyoming to win by 43 or more pts +10000
UNLV to win by 1-6 pts +330
UNLV to win by 7-12 pts +450
UNLV to win by 13-18 pts +600
UNLV to win by 19-24 pts +900
UNLV to win by 25-30 pts +1400
UNLV to win by 31-36 pts +2000
UNLV to win by 37-42 pts +3500
UNLV to win by 43 or more pts +4000
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
