MLB Postseason Betting Odds and Trends

Written by :

Tony Caliente

Published on :

2 October, 2023

The Wild Card series of the 2023 MLB Postseason are set, and the initial odds suggest only one of the matchups will be competitive.

But this is October baseball, and the best teams on paper don't always prevail.

We set Wild Card series odds Sunday night and also updated its World Series/ pennant prices with the 12 remaining teams.

Rangers +145

Rays -165

(Odds imply a 62.3% probability the Rays will advance)

These teams have split the last ten games of their overall series dating back to last season but Texas is 4-1 in their last five meetings.

Kennedi Landry of MLB.com:

"The offense can compete with anybody in baseball. From an AL MVP candidate in Corey Seager to a streaky Adolis García and the elite catching duo of Jonah Heim and Mitch Garver, the Rangers have put together the best offense in the American League, which leads the league in all three triple slash categories. Texas also is tied with the Twins for the lead in home runs among AL teams this season and tied for third in MLB. While the bullpen has been historically shaky and the rotation has been injury-riddled, the offense has possessed an ability all season long to break through at any moment."

Blue Jays -107

Twins -113

(Odds imply a 53.1% probability the Twins will advance)

These teams have also split wins and losses over their last ten games.

The Twins are peaking at the right time and have some of the deepest pitching. From Pablo López atop the rotation to Jhoan Duran at the back end of the bullpen. Heading into the post season, the Twins had the 8th best bullpen. They rank seventh in the Majors in pitching WAR (per FanGraphs) and first in batting WAR in September.

Diamondbacks +165

Brewers -190

(Odds imply a 65.5% probability the Brewers will advance)

The Brewers had the best bullpen for much of the conclusion of the 2023 MLB regular season according to StatMuse. The Brewers may have the best trio of starters in the postseason in Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta.

Arizona did have a slight edge in the overall series with six wins over the last ten meetings.

Steve Gilbert of MLB.com:

"The D-backs have two starters who can compare with any in the game in Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly, and when they are on, they can dominate a lineup. The back end of the bullpen was a weakness early in the season, but the D-backs corrected that at the Trade Deadline by picking up closer Paul Sewald. Kevin Ginkel has also turned into an outstanding setup man. Offensively, Arizona has tremendous team speed, which puts pressure on opposing defenses. When they get on, the D-backs run the bases aggressively and can manufacture runs with the best of them."

Marlins +180

Phillies -210

Yet another split series over the last ten meetings. The Marlins clinched last minute following a suspended game Friday night against the Mets.

(Odds imply a 67.7% probability the Phillies will advance)

World Series

Atlanta Braves +300

Los Angeles Dodgers +450

Houston Astros +500

Baltimore Orioles +600

Tampa Bay Rays +1000

Philadelphia Phillies +1200

Texas Rangers +1200