MLB Betting Analysis - June 12, 2025

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Jun/12/2025

Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for June 12, 2025.  Place your bets at BetUS here and claim up to a 125% welcome bonus.

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June 12 Games Outlook

White Sox @ Astros

We were not seeing the number move up from 7.5 anywhere as of Thursday morning with lopsided 65% or greater action on the Over.  That could change as this is a night game.

PITCHING PROBABLES: White Sox: Davis Martin (2-6, 3.62 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 48 strikeouts); Astros: Framber Valdez (6-4, 3.07 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 84 strikeouts)

Chicago White Sox career statistics vs. Framber Valdez are .319 but with just one home run (72 at bats). Chase Meidroth is 2 for 3 against him.

Only one of the last eight in this series has stayed Under this current total. 

We'd consider the Under if the books don't move this one to 8 but we're also not inclined to pull the trigger here.

June 11 Games Outlook

White Sox @ Astros

One has to ask themselves why this number has dropped from Houston Astros -175 to -164 with greater than 70% of the action on Houston.

The White Sox have managed to win four of their last six games overall.  They've split the series versus Houston over their last ten games.

The starting pitchers have little experience against the opposing team.

We're not quite ready to pull the trigger on the White Sox with this one but we're definitely not jumping on the Astros either.

Smart move not to pull the trigger as Astros win 10-2.

Cubs vs. Phillies 

We can confirm significant lopsided action on the Over yet some recreational books (as well as DraftKings) had resisted moving to the 9.  A few books have.

Philadelphia Phillies career statistics vs. Ben Brown are a pretty sick .500, but in a limited sampling of just 16 at bats.

Chicago Cubs career statistics vs. Jesus Luzardo are just .155 in 84 at bats.

11 runs were ultimately scored.

June 10 Games Outlook

Marlins @ Pirates

We saw the total at 8.5 earlier and it's dropped to 8.

The Over is seeing greater than 70% with both cash and tickets.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Marlins: Sandy Alcantara (2-7, 7.89 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 44 strikeouts); Pirates: Mitch Keller (1-8, 4.13 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 61 strikeouts)

Pittsburgh Pirates career statistics vs. Sandy Alcantara are .260 in 64 at bats with three home runs scored. Adam Frazier scored two of those and he's 7 for 15 against Alcantara.

He was uninvolved in the decision Tuesday after allowing two runs through six innings against the Rockies and gave up six runs in each of his two prior starts.

In 29 at bats, the Marlins have just one hit against Keller.

Miami hasn't scored more than three runs in nine of their last ten and Pittsburgh hasn't been much better.

There is a reason why everyone is on the Over here.  We will be on the Under 8.

This was a nice win for us.

June 9 Games Outlook

Reds @ Guardians

The total on this game was seeing greater than 70% of the action on the Over.

The number has moved from 8.5 to 9, but not at all books.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Reds: Wade Miley (0-0, 18.00 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, zero strikeouts); Guardians: Luis Ortiz (3-6, 4.02 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 71 strikeouts)

Seven of the last eight in this series have stayed Under the current number.

June 8 Games Outlook

Dodgers vs. Cardinals 

65% of the bets and 83% of the overall money was rolling in on LA, yet the line moved from Dodgers -145 to -125.  Some of the recreational books we monitor were holding at between -125 and -130.  Bovada is one such book.  They were offering LA at -130.

The Cardinals, who currently own a 36-28 record and are two games down from the Dodgers, are 3-1 against LA in their last four meetings.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw (0-0, 5.17 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, eight strikeouts); Cardinals: Michael McGreevy (0-0)

St. Louis Cardinals career statistics vs. Clayton Kershaw are .272.

Kershaw allowed five runs -- three earned -- with two strikeouts over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Tuesday.   He had a no-decision in his prior start as well.

The Cardinals recalled RHP Michael McGreevy from Triple-A Memphis.

St. Louis wins this one at +109

Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (15-6-1)

  • June 11 - No Picks Today
  • June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
  • June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
  • June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
  • June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
  • June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
  • June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
  • June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
  • May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
  • May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
  • May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
  • May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
  • May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
  • May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
  • May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
  • May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
  • May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
  • May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
  • April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
  • April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
  • April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
  • April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
  • April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)

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