Written by :
Published on :
The last three games in the Red Sox vs. Yankees series have stayed well Under the posted total. Today's game has all the makings of another Under.
Boston Red Sox (68-59, third in the AL East) vs. New York Yankees (69-57, second in the AL East)
New York; Thursday, 7:15 p.m. EDT
Yankees -145, Red Sox +121; over/under is 8 1/2 runs
PITCHING PROBABLES: Red Sox: Lucas Giolito (8-2, 3.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 87 strikeouts); Yankees: Luis Gil (1-1, 5.14 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 14 strikeouts)
From ESPN:
Luis Gil struggled in his first start back after missing the first four months, but he rebounded with a pair of effective outings, yielding just three runs over 10 2/3 combined innings while fanning 11. Next up is a home date with a Boston Red Sox. Away from Fenway Park, the Red Sox offense is below average, fueled by a 26% strikeout rate facing right-handers, the third-highest mark in the league.
Gil has also allowed just four hits from the Red Sox in 28 at bats. Gil allowed one run in 5 1/3 innings and got the win in the Yankees’ 4-3 victory over the Cardinals on Friday.
New York Yankees career statistics vs. Lucas Giolito are 11-for-43 with six RBIs and a homer (.256).
The Over was seeing heavy action (greater than 80% most books and PPH baseball platforms) with little movement in the number early on.
BOTTOM LINE: The Boston Red Sox head into the matchup against the New York Yankees as losers of three in a row.
New York has a 69-57 record overall and a 37-25 record in home games. The Yankees have the second-ranked team on-base percentage in the AL at .331.
Boston has a 68-59 record overall and a 27-34 record in road games. Red Sox pitchers have a collective 3.76 ERA, which ranks sixth in the majors.
The teams meet Thursday for the seventh time this season. The Red Sox are up 5-1 in the season series.
TOP PERFORMERS: Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 67 extra base hits (25 doubles, two triples and 40 home runs) but is 0-for-4 versus Giolito. Giancarlo Stanton is 12 for 22 with a double, five home runs and 12 RBI over the last 10 games. He is just 1-for-7 against Giolito.
Ceddanne Rafaela has 25 doubles, three triples and 14 home runs for the Red Sox but is 1-for-4 against Bil. Roman Anthony is 11 for 38 with two doubles and two home runs over the last 10 games.
LAST 10 GAMES: Yankees: 8-2, .275 batting average, 3.56 ERA, outscored opponents by 25 runs
Red Sox: 3-7, .229 batting average, 4.25 ERA, outscored opponents by one run
New York has suddenly gotten hot (8-2 over their last ten games) while Boston has won just three of their last ten. The Red Sox, we should note, have won the last five versus the Yankees. Action is balanced on the moneyline.
One of the hottest cappers we are following right now is all over the Yankees here.
These are MLB betting options available from the Pay Per Head platform AcePerHead.com:
MLB - GAME LINES
MLB - 1ST 5 FULL INNINGS
MLB - 3 INNINGS LINE
MLB - 7 INNINGS LINE
MLB - 1ST 5 INN WINNER (3-WAY)
MLB - 1ST INNING WINNER (3 WAY)
MLB - TEAM TOTALS
MLB - 1ST HALF TEAM TOTALS
MLB - ALTERNATE RUNLINES & TOTALS
MLB - GRAND SALAMI
MLB - TEAM WITH THE HIGHEST SCORING INNING
MLB - DOUBLE RESULT
MLB - WINNING MARGIN
MLB - HOME RUN MARKET
MLB - SCORE 1ST INNING
MLB - 1ST INNING EXACT HITS
MLB - TEAM TO SCORE 1ST
MLB - TEAM TO SCORE FIRST WINS THE GAME
MLB - TOTAL HITS
MLB - TOTAL RUNS ODD/EVEN
MLB - HITS +RUNS +ERRORS
MLB - 2025 MLB WORLD SERIES WINNER
MLB - 2025 NATIONAL LEAGUE WINNER
MLB - 2025 AMERICAN LEAGUE WINNER
MLB 2024 - WORLD SERIES EXACT RESULT
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
