A number of books had the Oklahoma City Thunder at -10 but some of the recreational books were holding this one at -10.5.  Yet we are finding that the public mostly likes Denver as a dog at a clip of better than 70%.

A few books, however, moved to the -9.5.  But that makes more sense being that action was mostly on Denver here.

The Denver Nuggets visit the Oklahoma City Thunder for game five of the Western Conference second round with the series tied 2-2. The Thunder defeated the Nuggets 92-87 in the last matchup on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 25 points, and Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 27.

The Thunder are 39-13 against conference opponents. Oklahoma City ranks sixth in the league averaging 14.5 made 3-pointers per game while shooting 37.4% from downtown. Isaiah Joe leads the team averaging 2.6 makes while shooting 41.2% from 3-point range.

The Nuggets are 8-8 against opponents from the Northwest Division. Denver ranks fourth in the league with 45.7 rebounds per game. Jokic leads the Nuggets with 12.7.

The Thunder average 120.5 points per game, 3.6 more points than the 116.9 the Nuggets give up. The Nuggets are shooting 50.6% from the field, 7.0% higher than the 43.6% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.

TOP PERFORMERS: Gilgeous-Alexander is scoring 32.7 points per game with 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists for the Thunder. Jalen Williams is averaging 16.8 points and 3.8 rebounds while shooting 46.0% over the last 10 games.

Jokic is scoring 29.6 points per game with 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists for the Nuggets. Jamal Murray is averaging 21.8 points and 4.6 rebounds while shooting 47.0% over the last 10 games.

Denver has covered in four of the last five games of this series.   We've even seen them win outright in Oklahoma City.

But the Thunder have won by more than 24 points in two of the last four at home versus Denver.  They are on fire of late, winning eight of their last ten overall.  Denver, meanwhile, has won half of their last ten games overall.

We will be backing the Thunder at -10 here.

Gambling911.com Free Picks Record

• May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 ()
• May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
• May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
• May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
• April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
• April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
• April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
• April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
• April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)