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The Minnesota Golden Gophers are -7 favorites across the board after opening at some places at -7.5. This gives us a payout of $235 for every $100 bet should Nebraska go on to win outright here. Even with a higher payout potential, a moneyline bet on the Huskers simply isn't worth it.
Since 2018, the Huskers are just 2-14 Straight Up as an away underdog.
As an underdog, home or away, Nebraska is 3-24 Straight Up.
As a favorite, the Golden Gophers are less convincing. They are 24-8 at 75 percent.
In conference games they are 24-19. That's just over 55 percent.
Let's look at the Gambling911 betting model from last year to get some idea on an edge here Against The Spread. Our model looks at overlays, underlays and comparables.
Gambling911.com does not recommend betting on the Cornhuskers outright (money line)
First, do we have an underlay, overlay or is this one on the money with an accurate line?
We get a number of Minnesota 8.06. The -7 point line represents a 1-point underlay, though the number was on the money up until a few days ago.
We're finding the slimmest of edges for Nebraska with the +7.5 number.
We had a good comparable last season too with West Virginia +7/+7.5 Pittsburgh with the dog (West Virginia) covering that +7.5 number in a 7-point loss. This one featured a line that was on the money.
North Carolina -7.5 to -7 Georgia State was another game where the underdog (Georgia State) came through with the cover as a +7.5 dog. This, however, was an underlay of 4 points.
Verdict here is Nebraska, but at +7.5, and that number is no longer available (6 on a scale of 1-10, 10 being best).
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
