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The Commanders vs. Bucs game features a line of Tampa-3. This one opened at -2.5. Sagarin gives us a number of 3.13. This one is on the money.
Commanders Player to Watch
QB Jayden Daniels goes up against Todd Bowles’ Tampa Bay defense that has not been as reliable as usual, and the rookie has the chance to make a big difference. Daniels faces a unit that has not gotten a lot of production out of its edge rushers and a secondary that had just seven interceptions during the regular season. If Daniels can take over the game with his legs, as well as his arms, that spells trouble for the Buccaneers.
Buccaneers Player to Watch
QB Baker Mayfield resurrected a stalled career as Tom Brady’s successor in 2023, signed a $100 million contract in the offseason and returned to have an even better season in leading Tampa Bay to a fourth consecutive NFC South title. In addition to completing 71.4% of his passes, he threw for career highs of 4,500 yards and 41 touchdowns and had 16 interceptions. The Bucs won a playoff game last year before being eliminated in the divisional round. If Mayfield’s on his game, they could be an even tougher out this time.
Key Matchup
Buccaneers WR Mike Evans vs. Commanders CB Marshon Lattimore. Old rivals reunite in the playoffs, where they faced off four years ago when Lattimore played for New Orleans. Lattimore held Evans to one catch for 3 yards in that game, but it was a touchdown and Tampa Bay won. Evans is coming off his 11th 1,000-yard season to tie Jerry Rice’s record, and Lattimore is expected to return from aggravating his hamstring injury. Get your popcorn ready.
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