Jared Goff Total Passing Yards Prop Bet vs. the Minnesota Vikings

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 Jared Goff Total Passing Yards Prop Bet vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The final regular season game of 2024-2025 has Jared Goff listed with an Over/Under passing yards total of 283.5 at BetUS.

Goff completed 26-of-34 passes for 303 yards and three touchdowns in the Lions’ 40-34, Week 17 win over the 49ers.

From NBC Edge:

"Goff and the Lions fell behind early and took a 21-13 deficit into the half, eventually asserting their dominance after the break. His first touchdown pass of the evening came on a hook-and-ladder trick play, with a completed pass to Amon-Ra St. Brown who pitched the football to Jameson Williams for the score. He then threw second half touchdowns to tight end Sam LaPorta and alpha wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown to lead the Lions to their first road victory of the 49ers since 1975. The win sends the Lions to a 14-2 record, tied with the Vikings ahead of the two teams meeting in Week 18 to decide the winner of the NFC Conference and recipient of the conference’s only playoff bye."

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Line Analysis and Action

The line on this game has moved from Detroit -2.5 to -3.  Some books were still holding at -2.5.

Sagarin shows an underlay here with Detroit 5.41 (-5.5).

Comparables

  • Giants +2.5 to +3 Cowboys (Cowboys 5.52 Underlay) Heavy 85% action on Cowboys. - Home favorite covers.
  • Chargers +2.5 Steelers (Steelers 4.05 Underlay) - Home favorite covers.
  • Washington +2.5 to +3 Iowa (Iowa 5.62 Underlay) - Home favorite covers.
  • Houston +2.5 / +3 Indianapolis (road dog Houston covers) Indianapolis 3.88 Underlay 1 to 1.5 points - Road dog covers.

Key Matchup

Detroit’s running game against Minnesota’s defense. The Lions lean on their backfield to gain yards, score and set up play-action passes. Jahmyr Gibbs has averaged 20 carries for 113 yards and a TD in two games without the injured David Montgomery. The Vikings are giving up just 88.1 yards rushing per game.

Before You Bet

  • The Lions are allowing 32.5 points per game in their last four.
  • The Lions are missing key players on the defensive end of the ball.

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