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Justin Herbert's total passing yards prop bet had him with a total of 230.5 versus the Texans.
Herbert completed 28-of-36 passes for 346 yards and two touchdowns in the Chargers’ 34-20, Week 18 win over the Raiders.
Prior to that, Herbert completed 26-of-38 passes for 281 yards and three touchdowns in the Chargers’ 40-7, Week 17 win over the Patriots.
Saturday's game will be Herbert’s second postseason start. While he realizes the stakes involved with Saturday’s game, he is trying to take the same approach as he would any other week.
“It would mean everything for us (to get a win). It is the most important game this year because it’s the next one,” Herbert said.
Key Matchup
Houston coach DeMeco Ryans said repeatedly this week that his defensive line vs. the Chargers offensive line will be the most important matchup. The Texans feature defensive ends Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson Jr., who have combined for 23 sacks and 33 tackles for losses this season. The Chargers will counter with Pro Bowl left tackle Rashawn Slater, who has allowed just three sacks and 22 pressures, according to Pro Football Focus. He is expected to return after missing Sunday’s game with a knee injury. At right tackle is rookie Joe Alt, the fifth overall pick in the draft, who has allowed six sacks and 20 pressures.
Line Analysis and Action
There is an overlay here as Sagarin gives us a number of Chargers 0.29 with the line set at Chargers -3. There has been an occasional shift to 2.5. 65 percent of the spread action was on LA.
Comparisons
- Ravens -3 to -2.5 Chargers (Ravens 1.46 Overlay) Action 65% Ravens.
- Buffalo -2.5 Kansas City (road favorite Buffalo covers with 4-point win) Buffalo 0.1 Overlay 1.5 to 2.5.
- Colorado -2.5/-3 Kansas (Colorado 0.94 Overlay) 65% action on Colorado.
- Alabama -3/-2.5 LSU (Alabama 1.63 Overlay) - Balanced Action.
- Texas A&M -3/2.5 South Carolina (Balanced Action) (Texas A&M 1.94 slight overlay).
