Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Yards Prop Bet vs. Texans December 21

Patrick Mahomes total passing yards prop bet versus the Houston Texans was coming in at 238.5.  Compare that to TJ Stroud, whose passing yards total featured an Over/Under of 234.5.

Mahomes (ankle) was removed from the injury report and will play in Week 16 against the Texans.

Mahomes completed 19-of-38 passes for 159 yards and two touchdowns in the Chiefs’ 21-7, Week 15 win over the Browns before departing early with a right ankle injury.

From NBC Edge:

"Mahomes got twisted up at the mid-way point of the fourth quarter. Limping badly, he made his way to the sideline before getting re-taped. With the game essentially over against the non-competitive Browns, however, Kansas City let Carson Wentz finish the proceedings. Mahomes finished the contest standing under his own power on the sideline. It certainly seems like he would have checked back in were it a playoff game, but it wasn’t and he didn’t. It is worth noting he was spotted heading to the X-ray room afterward. With the Chiefs playing on short rest next Saturday before a Christmas Day date the following Wednesday, Mahomes could get some time off if the Bills lose to the Lions Sunday, sealing the AFC’s top seed for Kansas City. Stay tuned."

Kansas City (13-1) is clinging to the No. 1 seed in the AFC with games left against the Texans, Steelers and Broncos.

“You go out and win two games,” Mahomes said of playing through the injury to clinch the lone postseason bye, “you'll have a long break more than likely. If you can get through these games and win these games against two great opponents, it will give you some momentum going into the playoffs, and hopefully give you a break then.”

The line on this Saturday game had moved from KC -2.5 to -3.5.  Sagarin gives us a number of Chiefs -1.68, indicating an overlay.

Comparables include:

• Tennessee +2.5 to +3.5 Green Bay (road dog Tenn covers and wins) GB 0.95 Overlay 1.5 to 2.5 - Road dog covers.
• Houston +2.5 to +3.5 SMU (home favorite SMU covers and wins by a lot) SMU 1.85 On The Money to 1.5 Overlay - Home favorite covers.