QB Starter-to-Backup Spread Differential for 32 Teams 2024
You may have seen the spread values of starting quarterbacks before.
BetOnline.ag oddsmakers have decided to take a different approach this year. Below is a list that identifies the value gap between the starter and the backup for each team.
An example is this weekend, where the look-ahead line (posted before Week 1) for the Colts-Packers game in Week 2 was Green Bay -4. Now with Love out and Malik Willis starting, Green Bay is a 2.5-point underdog.
So, Jordan Love isn’t necessarily worth 6.5 points, but the difference between starting Love and Willis is 6.5 points.
In some instances, such as the Panthers, Giants and Titans, starting the backup would be advantageous to those teams' pointspread.
For example, the Giants are currently 2-point underdogs to Washington in Week 2. If Drew Lock were starting instead of Daniel Jones, New York would be just a 1-point underdog.
The teams are listed below in order of which team is hurt the most in the eyes of the oddsmakers by not having the starter in the game.
Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson -7.5
Josh Johnson
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes -7.5
Carson Wentz
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen -7
Mitchell Trubisky
Green Bay Packers
Jordan Love -6.5
Malik Willis
Houston Texans
C.J. Stroud -5.5
Davis Mills
Los Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford -5.5
Stetson Bennett
Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray -5
Clayton Tune
Detroit Lions
Jared Goff -5
Hendon Hooker
Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert -5
Easton Stick
Philadelphia Eagles
Jalen Hurts -5
Kenny Pickett
Atlanta Falcons
Kirk Cousins -4.5
Michael Penix Jr.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott -4.5
Cooper Rush
San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy -4.5
Brandon Allen
Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow -4
Jake Browning
Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence -4
Mac Jones
Miami Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa -3.5
Skylar Thompson
New Orleans Saints
Derek Carr -3.5
Jake Haener
New York Jets
Aaron Rodgers -3.5
Tyrod Taylor
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield -3.5
Kyle Trask
Chicago Bears
Caleb Williams -2.5
Tyson Bagent
Seattle Seahawks
Geno Smith -2.5
Sam Howell
Washington Commanders
Jayden Daniels -1.5
Jeff Driskel
Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Richardson -1
Joe Flacco
Minnesota Vikings
Sam Darnold -1
Nick Mullens
Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson -0.5
Jameis Winston
New England Patriots
Jacoby Brissett -0.5
Drake Maye
Denver Broncos
Bo Nix 0
Jarrett Stidham
Las Vegas Raiders
Gardner Minshew 0
Aiden O'Connell
Pittsburgh Steelers
Justin Fields 0
Russell Wilson
Tennessee Titans
Will Levis +0.5
Mason Rudolph
New York Giants
Daniel Jones +1
Drew Lock
Carolina Panthers
Bryce Young +1.5
Andy Dalton
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