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Every year we read stories about NFL teams going from worst to first in their division.
So we did some research on teams going from last to first and repeat division winners, and then our guys created the below odds on the likelihood of each happening.
Here are the stats from the last 10 years:
Worst-to-First Teams
2023: 1 (Houston)
2022: 0
2021: 0
2020: 1 (Washington)
2019: 0
2018: 1 (Chicago)
2017: 2 (Jacksonville and Philadelphia)
2016: 2 (Carolina and Dallas)
2015: 1 (Washington)
2014: 0
Repeat Division Winners
2023: 4
2022: 4
2021: 4
2020: 3
2019: 5
2018: 4
2017: 3
2016: 2
2015: 3
2014: 6
Number of last year's Division Winners that Win Division This Season
Over/Under 3½
Note: Last year’s division winners were Buffalo, Baltimore, Houston, KC, Dallas, Detroit, TB, SF.
Number of last year's last place teams that Win Division This Season
Over/Under 1
Note: Last year’s last place teams were NE, Cincinnati, Tennessee, LAC, Washington, Chicago, Carolina, Arizona.
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