Texans vs. Chiefs Betting Preview - AFC Divisional Playoffs January 18
The well rested Kansas City Chiefs come into their playoff game against the Houston Texans as a -9 point home favorite. The line initially opened at -7.5.
The key matchup here should be the
Below we have your full Texans-Chiefs preview including some of the many props available from the top PPH software platforms.
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CJ Stroud Total Passing Yards Prop Bet
Texans starting quarterback CJ Stroud total passing yards Over/Under for Saturday's AFC Divisional Round came in at 227.5.
Stroud threw for 282 yards with a touchdown pass to Nico Collins and an interception. He joined Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger, Baltimore’s Joe Flacco, the New York Jets’ Mark Sanchez, Seattle’s Russell Wilson and San Francisco’s Brock Purdy as quarterbacks to win playoff starts in each of their first two seasons.
Stroud also ran for 42 yards, highlighted by a career-long 27-yard run to help set up a field goal that put the Texans up 10-6 at halftime.
Stroud, who is not known for his scrambling ability joked about his “slow speed.”
He said the long run energized him.
“I felt my joy coming back after I got up, and it’s just one the best feelings in the world,” he said. “After you make a play, you’re just turned up and your teammates are turned up with you. That’s one of the best feelings in the world. I think that gave our team juice. I think me using my legs is definitely going to be helpful this postseason.”
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop Bets
Patrick Mahomes total passing yards prop bet for this game came in at 249.5.
Prior to sitting out Week 18, Mahomes completed 29-of-38 passes for 320 yards with three touchdowns in the Chiefs’ 29-10, Week 17 win over the Steelers.
Before that, he completed 28-of-41 passes for 260 yards and a touchdown in Kansas City’s 27-19, Week 16 win over these same Texans.
Not that Mahomes got much rest during his supposed down time. He and his wife Brittany just welcomed their third child.
Mahomes credited the timing and said he was thankful for the additional time it gave him.
“It was cool that we got the bye because you can just really focus in on being at the hospital and being in the moment and it’s a special moment that a lot of dads and moms experience and you don’t forget about that stuff. I’m just glad I was able to be there and support them the best way I can,” Mahomes said.
The Chiefs quarterback doubled down on being a girl dad and said watching all three of his children together is fun.
“It’s cool to welcome another baby girl to our family and see how my other kids react to her and having ‘baby Sissy’ and stuff like that. It’s been a lot of fun,” Mahomes said.
Line Analysis, Comparables, Betting Action and Top Handicapping Predictions
75% or more of the spread action was coming in on the Chiefs. 83% of the cash was on the Chiefs as of Thursday night.
Sagarin suggests the number should be no more than Chiefs -3 (2.78).
There are injuries among the Houston squad that may not necessarily factor into the Sagarin number.
Texans LB Azeez Al-Shaair (knee), guard Shaq Mason (knee), offensive lineman Juice Scruggs (ankle) and WR Robert Woods (hip) missed practice this week. DE Denico Autry (knee) and TE Dalton Schultz (shoulder) were limited.
The Chiefs are healthy after they were able to rest everybody of consequence in Week 18 with nothing to play for in Denver. They also could have DB Jaylen Watson back for the first time after he injured his left ankle against San Francisco on Oct. 20.
Comparables include:
- Chicago +7 to +9.5 New Orleans with an overlay of 1.5 to 4.
Before You Bet
- The Chiefs only won 4 of their 15 games this season by eight or more points.
- The Texans held Justin Herbert's offense to 12 points, and he threw four interceptions, proving they can defend the pass.
- The Chiefs have not beaten Houston by more than the current spread in their last three head-to-head meetings.
Head to Head Player Prop Bets
Most Pass Completions: CJ Stroud (HOU) vs Patrick Mahomes (KC)
+166
-251
Most Passing TDs: CJ Stroud (HOU) vs Patrick Mahomes (KC)
+193
-295
Most Passing Yards: CJ Stroud (HOU) vs Patrick Mahomes (KC)
+120
-182
Most Receiving Yards: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
+150
-233
Most Receiving Yards: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Marquise Brown (KC)
-114
-132
Most Receiving Yards: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Noah Gray (KC)
-435
+249
Most Receiving Yards: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC)
-477
+270
Most Receiving Yards: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+134
-205
Most Receptions: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
+148
-223
Most Receptions: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Noah Gray (KC)
-2000
+610
Most Receptions: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+120
-176
Most Receptions: Dalton Schultz (HOU) vs Marquise Brown (KC)
-150
+102
Most Receiving Yards: John Metchie (HOU) vs Noah Gray (KC)
-400
+233
Most Receiving Yards: John Metchie (HOU) vs JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC)
-435
+250
Most Receiving Yards: John Metchie (HOU) vs Marquise Brown (KC)
+102
-154
Most Receiving Yards: John Metchie (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
+181
-295
Most Receiving Yards: John Metchie (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+161
-257
Most Receptions: John Metchie (HOU) vs Marquise Brown (KC)
+110
-162
Most Receptions: John Metchie (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+191
-295
Most Receptions: John Metchie (HOU) vs Noah Gray (KC)
-626
+334
Most Receptions: John Metchie (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
+217
-345
Most Receiving Yards: JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) vs Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)
+139
-213
Most Receiving Yards: JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) vs Robert Woods (HOU)
+135
-209
Most Receiving Yards: Marquise Brown (KC) vs Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)
-345
+206
Most Receiving Yards: Marquise Brown (KC) vs Robert Woods (HOU)
-358
+212
Most Receiving Yards: Marquise Brown (KC) vs Nico Collins (HOU)
+290
-556
Most Receptions: Marquise Brown (KC) vs Robert Woods (HOU)
-455
+270
Most Receptions: Marquise Brown (KC) vs Nico Collins (HOU)
+330
-589
Most Receiving Yards: Nico Collins (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
-295
+183
Most Receiving Yards: Nico Collins (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
-334
+202
Most Receptions: Nico Collins (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
-286
+185
Most Receptions: Nico Collins (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
-182
+124
Most Receiving Yards: Noah Gray (KC) vs Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)
+114
-173
Most Receiving Yards: Noah Gray (KC) vs Robert Woods (HOU)
+110
-167
Most Receptions: Noah Gray (KC) vs Robert Woods (HOU)
+135
-197
Most Receiving Yards: Robert Woods (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+345
-715
Most Receiving Yards: Robert Woods (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
+395
-910
Most Receptions: Robert Woods (HOU) vs Travis Kelce (KC)
+434
-910
Most Receptions: Robert Woods (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+459
-1000
Most Receiving Yards: Travis Kelce (KC) vs Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)
-834
+384
Most Receiving Yards: Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) vs Xavier Worthy (KC)
+334
-667
Our Pick
NA
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