Travis Kelce to Score a Touchdown Prop Bet vs. Bills - AFC Championship Game
Travis Kelce will pay out $110 for every $100 bet should he score 1+ touchdown vs. the Bills Sunday evening. The payout for two or more is $550 to $2800 (for 3+) on a $100 bet.
Kelce caught 7-of-8 targets for 117 yards and a touchdown in the Chiefs’ Divisional Round win over the Texans.
From NBC Edge:
"Like clockwork, 35-year-old Kelce woke up for his best game of the year as soon as the calendar turned to “playoffs.” His 117 yards were a new season high, and broke his tie with Jerry Rice for the most 100-yard performances in playoff history (Kelce now has nine). Despite the stuffed stat sheet, Kelce is visibly not the same player he was in his prime. He looked a bit like Russell Wilson in the open field this afternoon. He’s just so savvy at finding the soft spots in the defense. He will be an AFC Championship Game X-factor regardless of opponent."
Line Analysis, Head to Head and Action
All things point to a Bills cover and likely win here.
Most of the top handicappers are backing Buffalo by consensus and Sagarin suggests the wrong team is favored.
The action and line movement suggests something entirely different however.
Despite 67% to 75% of the money coming in on Buffalo, oddsmakers have moved the number up from a PICK'EM to KC -1.5. Circa has even moved the number up to -2. Moneyline action is relatively balanced, though favoring KC slightly, especially earlier in the week.
The Bills do have an offensive edge here, however, the weather conditions have reduced scoring by about 8% historically, according to RotoGrinders NFL WeatherEdge tool.
What the Top Cappers Are Saying
"On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs will once again try to rely on Mahomes and Kelce to lead them to victory. The Chiefs' ground game has gotten progressively worse this season and has become almost a non-factor. They had just 50 yards rushing against the Texans and neither Hunt or Pacheco found a groove. They'll need to win this game by using the short pass as their running game. The Bills have some key players that can impact that style."
They, like a lot of the cappers, are backing the Bills here.
"The Bills do have an offensive edge here, however, the weather conditions have reduced scoring by about 8% historically, according to RotoGrinders NFL WeatherEdge tool."
Gambling911.com:
This one is all about the line movement versus the action and the books seem to have an opinion on KC. They could be wrong but we say another Chiefs Super Bowl appearance.
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